Barnet vs Brighton & Hove Albion U21: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English EFL Trophy Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21
Result
2:1 penalties
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.56
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
69% (281/408)66% (216/327)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.652.11
Total shots
168
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
3214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
69% (281/408)66% (216/327)
Long passes
36% (31/87)23% (18/79)
Passes in final third
62% (117/188)45% (38/84)
Crosses
47% (8/17)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.27
Throw-ins
2330
Fouls
1218
Tackles
87% (13/15)68% (15/22)
Duels won
7170
Clearances
2436
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.111.65
Goals prevented
1.110.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Barclay B. 🟨,
  • 34', McGill T. , Ramming N. ,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Robertson J. , Oriola N. (A),
  • 45+10', Knight J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tasker C. , Keogh S. ,
  • 46', Hartigan A. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 46', Collinge D. , Senior A. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Stead C. , Winterburn B. (A),
  • 61', Belmont J. , Shaw K. ,
  • 70', Shaw K. 🟨,
  • 80', Robertson J. , Silsby T. ,
  • 82', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
  • 85', Silsby T. 🟨,
  • 89', High S. , Ofoborh N. ,
  • 90', Crichlow-Noble R. , Glover R. ,
  • 90+6', Albarus Z. , Owusu Y. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Adeniran D. (Pen),
  • 1, Knight J. (Pen),
  • 2, Hawkins O. (Pen),
  • 2, Nti S. (Pen),
  • 3, Stead C. (Pen),
  • 3, Shaw K. (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Barnet
38.1%
Draw
35.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion U21
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 25.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 25.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brighton & Hove Albion U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion U21 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brighton & Hove Albion U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (2.27)
    3.18
    (3.53)
    4.77
    (2.63)
    -17.8%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Barnet will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Barnet have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove U21 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Brighton & Hove U21 has had a series of away games.
    • Barnet could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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    2025/26

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