Bari vs Palermo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Bari - Palermo
Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 33
  • Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
Bari - Palermo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.49
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
85% (374/440)82% (337/412)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.35
Total shots
137
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2419
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
85% (374/440)82% (337/412)
Long passes
43% (15/35)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
76% (99/131)68% (74/109)
Crosses
24% (5/21)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.77
Fouls
1013
Tackles
57% (4/7)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4141
Clearances Total
3327
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.352.19
Goals prevented
-0.790.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Maggiore G. , Favasuli C. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Magnani G. 🟨,
  • 52', Favasuli C. 🟨,
  • 73', Falletti C. , Bellomo N. ,
  • 73', Lasagna K. , Bonfanti N. ,
  • 79', Verre V. , Vasic A. ,
  • 79', Brunori M. , Insigne R. ,
  • 81', Maita M. , Oliveri A. ,
  • 81', Favasuli C. , Favilli A. ,
  • 84', Lund K. 🟨,
  • 87', Pierozzi N. , Diakite S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Simic L. , Bellomo N. (A),
  • 90', Ranocchia F. , Di Mariano F. ,
  • 90', Lund K. , Le Douaron J. ,
  • 90+2', Maiello R. , Vicari F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bari
33.5%
Draw
30.2%
Palermo
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 31.3% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 31.2% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Palermo aligns with the current prediction.
  • Bari - Palermo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.85)
    3.09
    (2.95)
    2.57
    (2.55)
    7.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bari - Palermo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 0.
    • Recent matches Bari is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Palermo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Bari: Lella N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Palermo: Di Francesco F. (Inactive) Gomis A. (Injury) Nikolaou D. (Inactive) Segre J. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Bari won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8:19 (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Palermo were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Palermo - Bari 1:0
    02.02.2024 Palermo - Bari 3:0
    18.08.2023 Bari - Palermo 0:0
    20.01.2023 Palermo - Bari 1:0
    Latest results of Bari
    06.04.2025 Catanzaro - Bari 3:3
    30.03.2025 Carrarese - Bari 2:1
    15.03.2025 Bari - Salernitana 0:0
    09.03.2025 Sassuolo - Bari 1:1
    02.03.2025 Bari - Sampdoria 1:1
    Latest results of Palermo
    06.04.2025 Palermo - Sassuolo 5:3
    30.03.2025 Salernitana - Palermo 1:2
    14.03.2025 Palermo - Cremonese 2:3
    08.03.2025 Sampdoria - Palermo 1:1
    02.03.2025 Palermo - Brescia 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Spezia (3)Bye
    2Catanzaro (6)Cesena (7)1 : 0
    3Cremonese (4)Bye
    4Juve Stabia (5)Palermo (8)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Spezia (3)Catanzaro (6)
    2Cremonese (4)Juve Stabia (5)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bari - Palermo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
    usaUsaDCTV
    X
    bet365
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