Bari vs Avellino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie B Bari - Avellino
Result
1:1
27/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 18
  • Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
Bari - Avellino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.75
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
67% (200/300)77% (347/451)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.750.87
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1532
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2123
Passes
67% (200/300)77% (347/451)
Long passes
33% (17/52)36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
56% (63/113)67% (99/148)
Crosses
28% (5/18)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.63
Throw-ins
1830
Fouls
2321
Tackles
64% (14/22)70% (14/20)
Duels won
6566
Clearances
4034
Interceptions
1812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.870.75
Goals prevented
-0.13-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Missori F. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Dickmann L. , Maggiore G. (A),
  • 59', Milani A. , Russo R. ,
  • 59', Tutino G. , Patierno C. ,
  • 66', Braunoder M. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Biasci T. ,
  • 69', Palmiero L. , Palumbo M. ,
  • 73', Mane M. , Antonucci M. ,
  • 74', Maggiore G. , Rao E. ,
  • 85', Verreth M. , Bellomo N. ,
  • 85', Meroni A. , Kassama S. ,
  • 87', Biasci T. , Lescano F. ,
  • 88', Gytkjaer C. , Moncini G. ,
  • 88', Pucino R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Patierno C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Cerofolini M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/afhnavms

Chances of winning


Bari
37.6%
Draw
31.6%
Avellino
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 30% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 29% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Bari - Avellino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.34)
    2.95
    (3.11)
    3
    (3.1)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bari - Avellino?
    • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8%86.2%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • DNB - Avellino (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 3.
    • Bari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Avellino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bari could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Bari: Antonucci M. (Muscle Injury) Castrovilli G. (Muscle Injury) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Dorval M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Avellino: Armellino M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Fontanarosa A. (Yellow Cards) Insigne R. (Inactive) Kumi J. (Injury) Marchisano M. (Inactive) Pane P. (Inactive) Rigione M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bari won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
    Latest results of Bari
    19.12.2025 Bari - Catanzaro 1:2
    08.12.2025 Bari - Pescara 1:1
    04.12.2025 Juve Stabia - Bari 0:0
    29.11.2025 Empoli - Bari 5:0
    Latest results of Avellino
    20.12.2025 Avellino - Palermo 2:2
    13.12.2025 Catanzaro - Avellino 1:0
    08.12.2025 Avellino - Venezia 1:1
    22.11.2025 Avellino - Empoli 0:3
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia25165450:222853
    2Frosinone25157346:222452
    3Monza25156438:201851
    4Palermo25139342:192348
    5Catanzaro25118634:26841
    6Modena25117733:191440
    7Juve Stabia25911530:29138
    8Cesena251141032:34-237
    9Sudtirol25712626:24233
    10Carrarese2579931:35-430
    11Empoli25781030:34-429
    12Sampdoria25781027:32-529
    13Padova25781025:31-629
    14Avellino25771129:41-1228
    15Reggiana25671227:35-825
    16Entella255101023:34-1125
    17Mantova25651424:40-1623
    18Spezia25571320:32-1222
    19Bari25491220:38-1821
    20Pescara25391328:48-2018

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bari - Avellino?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
    russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
    sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
    usaUsaDCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
    worldWorldOnefootball
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