Barcelona vs Villarreal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona).

: LaLiga - Round 37
Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.77
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
24	7
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
11	3
Passes
92% (630/686)	78% (237/302)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	1.43
Total shots
24	7
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
9	0
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
13	0
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
11	3
Touches in opposition box
44	11
Accurate through passes
0	4
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
92% (630/686)	78% (237/302)
Long passes
71% (32/45)	49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
89% (295/332)	58% (29/50)
Crosses
11% (3/28)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.65	1.14
Throw-ins
21	15
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
77% (10/13)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
42	45
Clearances
11	34
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	7
xGOT faced
1.43	1.37
Goals prevented
-1.57	-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Pepe N. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Yamal L. ⚽, Garcia E. (A),
43', Garcia E. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pedri ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
46', Martin G. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
46', Perez A. ↓, Barry T. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Comesana S. ⚽, Pino Y. (A),
58', Parejo D. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
64', Pino Y. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
64', Navarro P. ↓, Kambwala W. ↑,
74', Garcia E. ↓, Fort H. ↑,
74', Lewandowski R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
77', Pepe N. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Buchanan T. ⚽, Moreno G. (A),
85', Gavi ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
86', Olmo D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Barcelona
54.5%

Draw
21.8%

Villarreal
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

17.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

17.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona's form might have worsened.

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barcelona - Villarreal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.4)	4.4 ↓ (5.2)	4.02 ↓ (5.6)	3.9% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

What is the prediction for Barcelona - Villarreal?

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 38 - 56.7%). Villarreal will win (votes: 20 - 29.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 44.8% – 68.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 20%). Villarreal (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

AH -1.5 - Villarreal (votes: 5 - 100%).

DC - Villarreal (votes: 5 - 100%).

AH -0.5 - Villarreal (votes: 7 - 100%).

AH -0.75 - Villarreal (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Villarreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Barcelona might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Barcelona: Araujo R. (Knee Injury) Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Surgery)
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Albiol R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Villarreal: Barry T. (Injury) Kiko Femenia (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 57:25. (average 2.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:10. (average 2.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Villarreal?

Barcelona has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Barcelona?

Villarreal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Villarreal were as follows:

22.09.2024 Villarreal - Barcelona 1:5

27.01.2024 Barcelona - Villarreal 3:5

27.08.2023 Villarreal - Barcelona 3:4

12.02.2023 Villarreal - Barcelona 0:1

20.10.2022 Barcelona - Villarreal 3:0

Latest results of Barcelona

15.05.2025 Espanyol - Barcelona 0:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:3 ✺

06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Valladolid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺

30.04.2025 Barcelona - Inter Milan 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Villarreal

14.05.2025 Villarreal - Leganés 3:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Girona - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Villarreal - Osasuna 4:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Villarreal - Espanyol 1:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Barcelona - Villarreal?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online