Manchester United vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League Manchester United - Barcelona
Result
2:1
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
Manchester United - Barcelona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Manchester United
44.3%
Draw
27.8%
Barcelona
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27.1% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 28% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United's performance.
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manchester United - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.68)
    3.47
    (3.54)
    3.44
    (2.58)
    3.7%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Barcelona?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Man Utd was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (49%), has a chance of qtrs (37%), has a chance of semis (24%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%), has currently - 15, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
    • Barcelona was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (51%), has a chance of qtrs (40%), has a chance of semis (30%), has a chance of final (22%), has a small chance of win league (14%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
    • This event has big quality 84, very big importance 100, very big match rating 92. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Man Utd is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Barcelona is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Man Utd will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Eriksen C. (Ankle Injury) Greenwood M. (Inactive) van de Beek D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Dembele O. (Muscle Injury) Gavi (Yellow Cards) Pedri (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Antony (Injury) Maguire H. (Knee Injury) Martial A. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Barcelona were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Barcelona - Manchester United 2:2
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Barcelona
    19.02.2023 Barcelona - Cádiz 2:0
    12.02.2023 Villarreal - Barcelona 0:1
    05.02.2023 Barcelona - Sevilla 3:0
    01.02.2023 Betis - Barcelona 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1AZ Alkmaar (19)Galatasaray (14)2 : 2, 4 : 1
    2Tottenham (4)Bye
    3Royale Union SG (21)Ajax (12)2 : 1, 0 : 2
    4Eintracht Frankfurt (5)Bye
    5Twente (23)Bodo/Glimt (9)2 : 5, 2 : 1
    6Olympiacos Piraeus (7)Bye
    7Ferencvaros (17)Plzen (16)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    8Lazio (1)Bye
    9Fenerbahce (24)Anderlecht (10)2 : 2, 3 : 0
    10Rangers (8)Bye
    11FC Porto (18)AS Roma (15)2 : 3, 1 : 1
    12Ath Bilbao (2)Bye
    13PAOK (22)FCSB (11)0 : 2, 1 : 2
    14Lyon (6)Bye
    15Midtjylland (20)Real Sociedad (13)2 : 5, 1 : 2
    16Manchester Utd (3)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1AZ Alkmaar (19)Tottenham (4)1 : 3, 1 : 0
    2Ajax (12)Eintracht Frankfurt (5)1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/Glimt (9)Olympiacos Piraeus (7)1 : 2, 3 : 0
    4Plzen (16)Lazio (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2
    5Fenerbahce (24)Rangers (8)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    6AS Roma (15)Ath Bilbao (2)1 : 3, 2 : 1
    7FCSB (11)Lyon (6)0 : 4, 1 : 3
    8Real Sociedad (13)Manchester Utd (3)1 : 4, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Tottenham (4)Eintracht Frankfurt (5)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    2Bodo/Glimt (9)Lazio (1)2 : 3, 2 : 0
    3Rangers (8)Ath Bilbao (2)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Lyon (6)Manchester Utd (3)4 : 5, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tottenham (4)Bodo/Glimt (9)2 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Ath Bilbao (2)Manchester Utd (3)1 : 4, 0 : 3

    Final
    1Tottenham (4)Manchester Utd (3)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester United - Barcelona?
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