Result
2:1
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
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Chances of winning
Manchester United
44.3% | Draw
27.8% | Barcelona
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United's performance.Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Manchester United - Barcelona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.68) |
3.47 ↓
(3.54) |
3.44 ↑
(2.58) |
3.7%
(4.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Manchester United - Barcelona?
Users Predictions:
104 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 58 - 55.8%). Barcelona will win (votes: 27 - 26%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 18.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 46.3% – 65.3%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Man Utd was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (49%), has a chance of qtrs (37%), has a chance of semis (24%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%), has currently - 15, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- Barcelona was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (51%), has a chance of qtrs (40%), has a chance of semis (30%), has a chance of final (22%), has a small chance of win league (14%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- This event has big quality 84, very big importance 100, very big match rating 92. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Man Utd is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Barcelona is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Man Utd will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Man Utd: Eriksen C.
(Ankle Injury)
Greenwood M.
(Inactive)
van de Beek D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Barcelona: Dembele O.
(Muscle Injury)
Gavi
(Yellow Cards)
Pedri
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Man Utd: Antony
(Injury)
Maguire H.
(Knee Injury)
Martial A.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Barcelona?
Manchester United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Manchester United?
Barcelona has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Barcelona were as follows:
16.02.2023
Barcelona
-
Manchester United
2:2
Latest results of Manchester United
Latest results of Barcelona
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 24 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 32 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 33 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 35 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 36 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 41 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 45 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Drita | |
| 56 | Bye | Genk | |
| 57 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 59 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 61 | RFS | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 65 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Noah | |
| 69 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 70 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 71 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 72 | Bye | Braga | |
| 73 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 76 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 77 | Servette | Bye | |
| 79 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 80 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 81 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 82 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 84 | Bye | Brann | |
| 85 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 86 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 87 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 88 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 89 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 92 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 93 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 96 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 12 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 16 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 17 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 18 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
| 20 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 21 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 23 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Drita | |
| 28 | Bye | Genk | |
| 29 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 30 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | RFS | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Noah | |
| 35 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 36 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 37 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 39 | Servette | Bye | |
| 40 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 4, 1 : 3 |
| 41 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 42 | Bye | Brann | |
| 43 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 44 | Ostrava | Legia | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 45 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 47 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 8 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 9 | Panathinaikos | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 11 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 12 | FCSB | Drita | 3 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Genk | |
| 15 | Fredrikstad | Midtjylland | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | RFS | KuPS | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Lincoln Red Imps | Noah | 1 : 1 |
| 18 | CFR Cluj | Braga | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Zrinjski | Breidablik | 1 : 1 |
| 20 | Servette | Utrecht | 1 : 3 |
| 21 | Hacken | Brann | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | AEK Larnaca | Legia | 4 : 1 |
| 23 | Rijeka | Shelbourne | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | PAOK | Wolfsberger AC | 0 : 0 |
Final
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