Universitario de Deportes vs Barcelona Guayaquil: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil
Result
1:0
14/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.00
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
74% (279/376)82% (386/469)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.22
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
411
Passes
74% (279/376)82% (386/469)
Long passes
43% (29/67)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
63% (82/131)79% (138/174)
Crosses
48% (12/25)22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.11
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
114
Tackles
70% (16/23)46% (11/24)
Duels won
5160
Clearances
4226
Interceptions
178
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.221.72
Goals prevented
1.220.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', Corzo A. 🟨,
  • 38', Rivero O. 🟨,
  • 38', Valera A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Valera A. , Concha J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 54', Urena R. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 61', Castillo Segura B. D. , Caicedo F. ,
  • 69', Flores E. , Rivera J. ,
  • 69', Inga C. , Perez M. ,
  • 77', Souza de Almeida L. , Valiente J. ,
  • 77', Oyola B. , Arroyo D. ,
  • 77', Concha J. , Velez J. ,
  • 90', Jesus Trindade , Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
45.3%
Draw
30%
Barcelona Guayaquil
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 31.1% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 30.6% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.34)
    3.13
    (3.04)
    3.8
    (3.34)
    6%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Mario Pineida (Injury) Pinargote Lara K. D. (Muscle Injury) Rangel A. (Knee Injury) Rojas J. (Broken Leg)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Universitario de Deportes 0:1
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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