Sergipe vs Barcelona de Ilhéus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus
Result
4:1
08/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 8
Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
24
Total shots
89
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
24
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Dick ,
  • 9', 1 - 1, Matheus Sacramento ,
  • 23', 2 - 1, Felipe Para ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 78', 3 - 1, Tinga ,
  • 85', 4 - 1, Reny Max ,

Chances of winning


Sergipe
57.9%
Draw
26.9%
Barcelona de Ilhéus
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 23.8% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 22.8% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.46)
    3.39
    (3.78)
    5.99
    (6.18)
    9.8%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Sergipe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barcelona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sergipe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sergipe is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Sergipe 0:1
    Latest results of Sergipe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia
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