Legia Warsaw vs Baník Ostrava: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava
Result
2:1
31/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)
Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
149
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
52
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
627
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
196
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Prekop E. , Buchta D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Latal D. , Kpozo P. ,
  • 46', Elitim J. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Nsame J. , Kapustka B. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Pojezny K. (Own goal), Morishita R. (A),
  • 77', Morishita R. , Goncalves C. ,
  • 77', Bichakhchyan V. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 79', Sin M. , Zlatohlavek T. ,
  • 79', Holzer D. , Owusu D. ,
  • 81', Nsame J. , Shkurin I. ,
  • 90', Buchta D. (Pen),
  • 90', Vinagre R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Buchta D. , Munksgaard A. ,
  • 90+1', Rigo T. , Almasi L. ,
  • 90+1', Tobiasz K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vinagre R. , Jedrzejczyk A. ,
  • 90+5', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
64%
Draw
21.3%
Baník Ostrava
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 24.4% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 22.6% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.
  • Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.67)
    4.54
    (3.66)
    6.75
    (4)
    5.1%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 65.7%89.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg. Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
    • Legia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Baník Ostrava has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Legia is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Legia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Baník Ostrava - Legia Warsaw 2:2
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    20.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice Postponed
    17.07.2025 Aktobe - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    Latest results of Baník Ostrava
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app
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