São Gonçalo vs Bangu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2 São Gonçalo - Bangu
Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Carioca 2 - Play Offs - Final
São Gonçalo - Bangu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Red Cards
20
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Mauro ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, ,
  • 43', 1 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 70', 🟥,
  • 89', 🟥,

Chances of winning


São Gonçalo
29.2%
Draw
35.5%
Bangu
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 32.6% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 33.8% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Gonçalo's form might have worsened.
  • Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bangu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Gonçalo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bangu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Gonçalo - Bangu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.42)
    2.73
    (2.8)
    2.75
    (3.06)
    3.2%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • São Gonçalo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bangu is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Gonçalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Gonçalo - Bangu were as follows:
    13.08.2025 Bangu - São Gonçalo 1:0
    21.05.2025 Bangu - São Gonçalo 0:2
    Latest results of São Gonçalo
    13.08.2025 Bangu - São Gonçalo 1:0
    09.08.2025 São Gonçalo - Olaria 3:0
    03.08.2025 Olaria - São Gonçalo 0:0
    28.06.2025 America RJ - São Gonçalo 1:1
    Latest results of Bangu
    13.08.2025 Bangu - São Gonçalo 1:0
    09.08.2025 Bangu - Araruama 1:0
    03.08.2025 Araruama - Bangu 0:0
    30.07.2025 Campo Grande - Bangu 0:1
    12.07.2025 Bangu - Petrópolis 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sao Goncalo (1)Olaria (4)3 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Bangu (2)CEAC/Araruama (3)1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Sao Goncalo (1)Bangu (2)1 : 2, 0 : 1
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