Bahia vs Vitória Salvador: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Vitória Salvador
Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 9
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Bahia - Vitória Salvador - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.14
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
823
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
82% (274/333)90% (329/367)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.11
Total shots
823
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
311
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
1719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2312
Passes
82% (274/333)90% (329/367)
Long passes
45% (19/42)58% (11/19)
Passes in final third
69% (47/68)84% (106/126)
Crosses
20% (1/5)24% (9/37)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.26
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
1223
Tackles
79% (15/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6142
Clearances
2815
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
2.110.98
Goals prevented
1.11-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Jean Lucas 🟥,
  • 13', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Erick Pulga , Caio Alexandre (A),
  • 33', Baralhas , Erick ,
  • 40', Claudinho 🟨,
  • 42', Erick 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wellington Rato , Gustavo Silva ,
  • 46', Rodriguez L. , Tiago ,
  • 53', Gilberto 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Renato Kayzer , Osvaldo (A),
  • 55', Cauly , Erick ,
  • 55', Caio Alexandre , Nicolas Acevedo ,
  • 59', Erick Pulga 🟨,
  • 63', Osvaldo 🟨,
  • 64', Everton Ribeiro , Michel Araujo ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Michel Araujo , Tiago (A),
  • 68', Osvaldo , Janderson ,
  • 68', Ricardo Ryller , Pepe ,
  • 71', Pepe 🟥,
  • 78', Erick Pulga , Willian Jose ,
  • 83', Claudinho , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 88', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
54.9%
Draw
27%
Vitória Salvador
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 26.9% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 25.8% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Bahia - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.7)
    3.54
    (3.51)
    5.21
    (5.39)
    5.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Inactive) Arias S. (Muscle Injury) Gilberto (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ronaldo Strada (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Matheuzinho (Red Card) Pepe (Inactive) Willian Oliveira (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 1:1
    01.02.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 0:0
    11.08.2024 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 2:0
    21.04.2024 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 2:2
    07.04.2024 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 1:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    14.05.2025 Atlético Nacional - Bahia 1:0
    10.05.2025 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ20144244:93546
    2Palmeiras19133327:151242
    3Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2188526:22432
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2175919:20-126
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    13Internacional2066823:28-524
    14Gremio2066819:25-624
    15Santos20631120:31-1121
    16Juventude21631219:41-2221
    17Vasco20541127:29-219
    18Vitoria21310818:32-1419
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife19171112:30-1810

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bahia - Vitória Salvador?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
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