Vitória Salvador vs Bahia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Bahia
16/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Vitória Salvador - Bahia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
32.8%
Draw
29.3%
Bahia
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 29.3% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 29.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Vitória Salvador - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.87)
    3.26
    (3.23)
    2.51
    (2.51)
    5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.
    • Recent form of Vitória has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bahia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Bahia were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 2:1
    23.03.2025 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 1:1
    01.02.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 0:0
    11.08.2024 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 2:0
    21.04.2024 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 2:2
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Bahia
    05.10.2025 Bahia - Flamengo 1:0
    01.10.2025 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 2:1
    28.09.2025 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:0
    24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1
    20.09.2025 Ceará - Bahia 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras26184446:222458
    2Flamengo RJ26167350:133755
    3Cruzeiro27157540:202052
    4Mirassol271210544:291546
    5Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    6Bahia26127734:30443
    7Fluminense261151034:33138
    8Sao Paulo27108931:28338
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Ceara26971026:24234
    11Vasco27961242:41133
    12Corinthians27891029:32-333
    13Gremio27891028:33-533
    14Atletico-MG26881025:30-532
    15Internacional26881032:38-632
    16Santos26771225:38-1328
    17Vitoria275101224:42-1825
    18Fortaleza26661426:41-1524
    19Juventude27651622:52-3023
    20Sport Recife262101420:41-2116

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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