Fortaleza vs Bahia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Bahia
Result
4:1
21/09/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 27
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Fortaleza - Bahia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.76
Ball Possession
36%64%
Goal Attempts
107
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
913
Corner Kicks
21
Offsides
34
Throw-ins
1812
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
139
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
414663
Completed Passes
367589

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', Matheus Rossetto 🟨,
  • 20', Jean Lucas 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Marinho , Ze Welison (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Everaldo , Cauly (A),
  • 37', 2 - 1, Marinho , Britez E. (A),
  • 41', Lucero J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Victor Cuesta , Rezende ,
  • 46', Thaciano , Rafael Ratao ,
  • 74', Everaldo , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 74', Everton Ribeiro , de Pena C. ,
  • 74', Cauly , Ademir ,
  • 76', Lucero J. , Renato Kayzer ,
  • 76', Hercules , Pochettino T. ,
  • 79', Pochettino T. (Pen),
  • 80', 3 - 1, Pochettino T. ,
  • 82', Marinho , Yago Pikachu ,
  • 84', Ze Welison 🟥,
  • 87', Mancuso E. , Tinga ,
  • 87', Matheus Rossetto , Pedro Augusto ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Renato Kayzer , Emmanuel Martinez (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
37.2%
Draw
29.5%
Bahia
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 26.6% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26.5% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fortaleza - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2)
    3.21
    (3.55)
    2.85
    (3.63)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Bahia?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruno Pacheco (Injury) Santos (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Nicolas Acevedo (Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Bahia were as follows:
    13.06.2024 Bahia - Fortaleza 1:0
    21.10.2023 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:0
    03.06.2023 Fortaleza - Bahia 0:0
    14.02.2023 Bahia - Fortaleza 0:3
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Latest results of Bahia
    15.09.2024 Bahia - Atlético Mineiro 3:0
    12.09.2024 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    28.08.2024 Bahia - Flamengo 0:1
    25.08.2024 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras971111:4722
    2Flamengo RJ953117:41318
    3Cruzeiro952213:7617
    4Bragantino952211:8317
    5Ceara943211:7415
    6Bahia94329:9015
    7Fluminense942311:11014
    8Corinthians941412:14-213
    9Atletico-MG934210:10013
    10Botafogo RJ933310:5512
    11Sao Paulo92618:7112
    12Mirassol925214:12211
    13Vasco931510:11-110
    14Fortaleza924310:8210
    15Internacional924311:13-210
    16Vitoria923410:13-39
    17Gremio92348:14-69
    18Juventude92258:21-138
    19Santos91267:11-45
    20Sport Recife90274:16-122

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fortaleza - Bahia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, PFC Internacional, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chileChileMEGOGO
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
    spainSpainGol Stadium
    ukraineUkraineSport 2
    worldWorldFanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic
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