Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Corinthians - Bahia live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (431/485) | 76% (201/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (431/485) | 76% (201/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 81% (48/59) | 35% (18/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (153/193) | 53% (19/36) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (11/42) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 1.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Michel Araujo ⚽, Willian Jose (A),
- 28', David Duarte 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Gui Negao ⚽, Raniele (A),
- 43', 1 - 2, Willian Jose (Pen),
- 45+1', Luciano Juba 🟨,
- 45+5', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 56', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
- 60', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 60', Willian Jose ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 61', Arias S. 🟨,
- 68', Breno Bidon ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 68', Gui Negao ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 71', Ademir ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 71', Kayky ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 81', Andre Ramalho ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 87', Kayke ↓, Bahia ↑,
- 87', Matheus Bidu ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
37.6% | Draw
31.1% | Bahia
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Corinthians - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.2) |
3.05 ↓
(3.2) |
3.07 ↓
(3.4) |
5.1%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 25%). Bahia (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.
- Recent performances by Corinthians have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bahia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Angel Romero
(Red Card)
Angileri F.
(Yellow Cards)
Caca
(Yellow Cards)
Carrillo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Depay M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hugo
(Hernia)
Maycon
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Erick Pulga
(Thigh Injury)
Everton Ribeiro
(Yellow Cards)
Fred Lippert
(Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Bahia?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Corinthians?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Bahia were as follows:
30.03.2025
Bahia
-
Corinthians
1:1
03.12.2024
Corinthians
-
Bahia
3:0
21.07.2024
Bahia
-
Corinthians
0:1
24.11.2023
Corinthians
-
Bahia
1:5
22.07.2023
Bahia
-
Corinthians
0:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Corinthians - Bahia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
