Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 0.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
84% (354/420) | 83% (336/404) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 0.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.02 | 0.14 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
84% (354/420) | 83% (336/404) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (25/49) | 52% (24/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (98/139) | 71% (57/80) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (6/17) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.01 | 0.20 |
Throw-ins |
---|
10 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (9/14) | 50% (3/6) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.14 | 2.02 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.86 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Luciano Juba ↓, Ze Guilherme ↑,
- 27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 40', Arias S. 🟨,
- 45+4', Cuiabano 🟨,
- 45+4', Sanabria M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 46', Kayky ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Jeffinho ⚽, Cuiabano (A),
- 55', Ramos S. ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 55', 2 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽,
- 59', Sanabria M. 🟨,
- 61', Ancelotti D. 🟨,
- 65', Cuiabano ↓, David Ricardo ↑,
- 65', Willian Jose ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 70', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 72', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 76', Jeffinho ↓, Artur ↑,
- 76', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 80', Kaio ↓, Gabriel Bahia ↑,
- 80', Newton ↓, Allan ↑,
- 87', Allan 🟨,
- 90', David Ricardo 🟨,
- 90+4', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ 49.8% | Draw 27.6% | Bahia 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Botafogo RJ - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↓ (1.95) |
3.49 ↑ (3.25) |
4.22 ↑ (3.9) |
5% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
- In recent matches, Botafogo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bahia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barrera J.
(International duty)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Correa J.
(Inactive)
Danilo
(Inactive)
Matheus Martins
(Yellow Cards)
Montoro A.
(International duty)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Caio Alexandre
(Hamstring Injury)
David Duarte
(Inactive)
Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Erick Pulga
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Paulo
(Knee Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Nicolas Acevedo
(Yellow Cards)
Ruan Pablo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Nicolas Acevedo
(Injury)
Sanabria M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Bahia?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Botafogo RJ?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Bahia were as follows:
03.05.2025
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
25.08.2024
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
07.08.2024
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
30.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
1:1
05.05.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
1:2
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42:21 | 21 | 55 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50:13 | 37 | 55 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40:20 | 20 | 52 |
4 | Mirassol | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Ceara | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
11 | Vasco | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25:38 | -13 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
19 | Juventude | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
20 | Sport Recife | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Botafogo RJ - Bahia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
Suriname | SCCN |
Usa | Fanatiz |