Botafogo RJ vs Bahia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Botafogo RJ - Bahia
Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
Botafogo RJ - Bahia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.27
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (354/420)83% (336/404)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.14
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
225
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
84% (354/420)83% (336/404)
Long passes
51% (25/49)52% (24/46)
Passes in final third
71% (98/139)71% (57/80)
Crosses
35% (6/17)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.20
Throw-ins
1017
Fouls
1910
Tackles
64% (9/14)50% (3/6)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1833
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.142.02
Goals prevented
-0.860.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Luciano Juba , Ze Guilherme ,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. , Vitinho (A),
  • 40', Arias S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Cuiabano 🟨,
  • 45+4', Sanabria M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Everton Ribeiro , Rodrigo ,
  • 46', Kayky , Tiago ,
  • 46', 2 - 0, Jeffinho , Cuiabano (A),
  • 55', Ramos S. , Michel Araujo ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Rodrigo ,
  • 59', Sanabria M. 🟨,
  • 61', Ancelotti D. 🟨,
  • 65', Cuiabano , David Ricardo ,
  • 65', Willian Jose , Ademir ,
  • 70', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 72', Barboza A. 🟨,
  • 76', Jeffinho , Artur ,
  • 76', Vitinho , Ponte M. ,
  • 80', Kaio , Gabriel Bahia ,
  • 80', Newton , Allan ,
  • 87', Allan 🟨,
  • 90', David Ricardo 🟨,
  • 90+4', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
49.8%
Draw
27.6%
Bahia
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 28.6% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 28% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Botafogo RJ - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.95)
    3.49
    (3.25)
    4.22
    (3.9)
    5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: Botafogo RJ will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
    • In recent matches, Botafogo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bahia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Botafogo is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Barrera J. (International duty) Bastos (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive) Danilo (Inactive) Matheus Martins (Yellow Cards) Montoro A. (International duty) Nathan Fernandes (Arm Injury) Neto (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Caio Alexandre (Hamstring Injury) David Duarte (Inactive) Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Hamstring Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Nicolas Acevedo (Yellow Cards) Ruan Pablo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Nicolas Acevedo (Injury) Sanabria M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Bahia were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    25.08.2024 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    07.08.2024 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 1:1
    05.05.2024 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 1:2
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    28.09.2025 Fluminense - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    24.09.2025 Grêmio - Botafogo RJ 1:1
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    14.09.2025 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    28.09.2025 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:0
    24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1
    20.09.2025 Ceará - Bahia 1:1
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    10.09.2025 Fluminense - Bahia 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras25174442:212155
    2Flamengo RJ26167350:133755
    3Cruzeiro27157540:202052
    4Mirassol271210544:291546
    5Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    6Bahia26127734:30443
    7Fluminense261151034:33138
    8Sao Paulo27108931:28338
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Ceara26971026:24234
    11Vasco27961242:41133
    12Corinthians27891029:32-333
    13Gremio27891028:33-533
    14Atletico-MG26881025:30-532
    15Internacional26881032:38-632
    16Santos26771225:38-1328
    17Vitoria275101224:42-1825
    18Fortaleza26661426:41-1524
    19Juventude26651521:48-2723
    20Sport Recife262101420:41-2116

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    portugalPortugalCanal 11
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