Result
1:0
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Atlético Nacional - Bahia live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (384/452) | 83% (302/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (384/452) | 83% (302/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (91/128) | 66% (64/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Uribe M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽, Arce B. (A),
- 68', Rodriguez L. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 68', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 77', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 77', Cauly ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 80', Viveros K. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 81', Cardona E. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 87', Jean Lucas ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 88', Arce B. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 90+4', Sarmiento A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hinestroza M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Hinestroza M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
52.6% | Draw
26.4% | Bahia
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Nacional - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.13) |
3.54 ↑
(3.29) |
4.52 ↑
(3.5) |
5.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Atlético Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bahia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético Nacional: Zapata J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Arias S.
(Muscle Injury)
Gilberto
(Inactive)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Bahia?
Atlético Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Atlético Nacional?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Bahia were as follows:
24.04.2025
Bahia
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Nacional - Bahia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Canada | beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
