Babrungas Plungė vs BFA Vilnius: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Lithuanian Division 2 Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius
Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : I Lyga - Round 26
Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Borja P. ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Ajayi S. B. ,
  • 44', 2 - 1, Perveinis M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Baguzas E. ,
  • 83', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Babrungas Plungė
50.6%
Draw
24.7%
BFA Vilnius
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 23.3% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 22.5% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babrungas Plungė's performance.
  • BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BFA Vilnius might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Babrungas Plungė that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BFA Vilnius could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.26)
    3.71
    (3.9)
    3.7
    (2.5)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Babrungas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 2.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Babrungas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius were as follows:
    31.05.2025 BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė 3:2
    23.08.2024 Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius 3:1
    30.03.2024 BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė 3:2
    26.08.2023 BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė 1:2
    07.04.2023 Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius 4:1
    Latest results of Babrungas Plungė
    Latest results of BFA Vilnius
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest ✔ 26231274:195570
    2Neptunas26174556:253155
    3Tauras Taurage26167350:183255
    4Babrungas26147550:331749
    5BFA Vilnius26146639:271248
    6Jonava26108825:21438
    7Zalgiris 226108845:42338
    8Atmosfera261151041:311038
    9FK Minija261031326:37-1133
    10Kauno Zalgiris 226831538:47-927
    11Hegelmann Litauen 226761331:45-1427
    12Nevezis Kedainiai26651527:47-2023
    13Ekranas26721732:52-2023
    14FK Panevezys 226631726:64-3821
    15BE1 NFA26561524:47-2321
    16Siauliai 226621833:62-2920

          Promotion ~ A Lyga
          Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )
          I Lyga (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
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