Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Regionalliga Nordost Babelsberg - Luckenwalde
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Regionalliga Nordost - Round 33
Babelsberg - Luckenwalde - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Lang J. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Schleinitz T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 1 - 2, Gollnack S. ,

Chances of winning


Babelsberg
36.2%
Draw
25.6%
Luckenwalde
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 23.8% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 23.1% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Babelsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Babelsberg's form might have worsened.
  • Luckenwalde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luckenwalde's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (+18.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Babelsberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luckenwalde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Babelsberg - Luckenwalde Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (1.74)
    3.57
    (3.86)
    2.39
    (3.95)
    9.7%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babelsberg won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Babelsberg won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 2.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Babelsberg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Babelsberg - Luckenwalde were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Luckenwalde - Babelsberg 2:2
    09.03.2024 Luckenwalde - Babelsberg 1:2
    22.09.2023 Babelsberg - Luckenwalde 1:2
    26.02.2023 Luckenwalde - Babelsberg 3:1
    09.09.2022 Babelsberg - Luckenwalde 1:1
    Latest results of Babelsberg
    Latest results of Luckenwalde
    19.04.2025 Plauen - Luckenwalde 0:2
    12.04.2025 Luckenwalde - Zwickau 0:1
    06.04.2025 Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1Lokomotive LeipzigTSV Havelse0 : 3, 1 : 1
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