AZ Alkmaar vs Fenerbahçe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League AZ Alkmaar - Fenerbahçe
Result
3:1
07/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
AZ Alkmaar - Fenerbahçe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.272.30
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1111
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
43
Free Kicks
1215
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
20
Throw-ins
2115
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
1512
Yellow Cards
26
Total Passes
445503
Completed Passes
371408
Crosses Completed
24
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lahdo M. , Daal R. ,
  • 49', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
  • 51', Mijnans S. 🟨,
  • 54', Yuksek I. 🟨,
  • 57', Yuksek I. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 57', Saint-Maximin A. , Szymanski S. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Daal R. , Parrott T. (A),
  • 62', En Nesyri Y. (Pen),
  • 63', Rodrigo Becao 🟨,
  • 64', Addai J. , Smit K. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, En Nesyri Y. , Dzeko E. (A),
  • 72', Parrott T. , Meerdink M. ,
  • 72', de Wit M. , Kasius D. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Smit K. , Mijnans S. (A),
  • 79', Rodrigo Becao , Yandas M. ,
  • 81', Muldur M. , Tosun C. ,
  • 84', Fred 🟨,
  • 86', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Kasius D. , Smit K. (A),
  • 88', Maikuma S. , Goes W. ,
  • 90+2', Daal R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dzeko E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
31.4%
Draw
27.4%
Fenerbahçe
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 27% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 27.3% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AZ Alkmaar - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.55)
    3.5
    (3.45)
    2.33
    (2.55)
    4.1%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 13 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 30.8%69.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • AZ has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fenerbahçe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in AZ: Buurmeester Z. (Injury) Sadiq I. (Muscle Injury) Wolfe D. M. (Red Card) van Bommel R. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Belic K. (Injury) Martins Indi B. (Muscle Injury) Schouten L. (Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) Zeefuik L. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    03.11.2024 Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe 2:3
    27.10.2024 Fenerbahçe - Bodrumspor 2:0
    20.10.2024 Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 2:2
    03.10.2024 Twente - Fenerbahçe 1:1
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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