AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar - Almere City
Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 34
  • Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
AZ Alkmaar - Almere City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.43
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (421/498)78% (272/350)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.920.41
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
5715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
85% (421/498)78% (272/350)
Long passes
51% (24/47)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
78% (126/162)64% (65/101)
Crosses
13% (3/24)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.48
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
1411
Tackles
69% (11/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
1929
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.411.92
Goals prevented
-0.590.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Robinet T. , Kadile J. (A),
  • 40', Haye T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Kasius D. , Maikuma S. ,
  • 58', Meerdink M. , Sadiq I. ,
  • 59', Buurmeester Z. , Smit K. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Wolfe D. M. , van Bommel R. (A),
  • 69', Barbet T. , Jacobs Jo. ,
  • 69', Jasim A. , Hansen K. ,
  • 69', Kadile J. , Poku E. ,
  • 74', Poku E. , Lahdo M. ,
  • 81', Bakker N. , Wendlinger J. ,
  • 81', Brym C. , Guillaume B. ,
  • 82', van Bommel R. , Daal R. ,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
75.6%
Draw
15.2%
Almere City
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 27.8% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 27.1% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.
  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-24.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • AZ Alkmaar - Almere City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.86)
    6.19
    (3.35)
    10.49
    (4.2)
    5.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Almere City?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is AZ Alkmaar will win! (17 of 20 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • AZ is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    • Almere City is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
    • AZ is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Almere City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Calf Injury) Parrott T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Almere City: Akujobi H. (Injury) Haye T. (Yellow Cards) Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Addai J. (Injury) Belic K. (Ribs Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 2.6:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Almere City were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Almere City - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    10.02.2024 Almere City - AZ Alkmaar 0:0
    09.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 4:1
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    14.05.2025 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 2:3
    11.05.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 3:0
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    Latest results of Almere City
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2ByeWillem II
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1DordrechtWillem II
    2TelstarDen Bosch0 : 0
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