Result
16/03/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 26
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (467/539) | 83% (385/462) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (64/91) | 65% (67/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 20% (2/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 57% (12/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Taylor K. 🟨,
- 32', Penetra 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Buurmeester Z. ⚽,
- 54', Belic K. 🟨,
- 57', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Gaaei A. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
- 58', Clasie J. 🟨,
- 69', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
- 69', Belic K. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 69', Parrott T. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 74', Gaaei A. 🟥,
- 74', Penetra 🟨,
- 80', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 80', Traore B. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
- 80', Wolfe D. M. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Sadiq I. ⚽, Koopmeiners P. (A),
- 85', 2 - 2, Edvardsen O. ⚽,
- 90', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Martins Indi B. ↑,
- 90+2', Taylor K. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 90+2', Brobbey B. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
50.1% | Draw
26.1% | AZ Alkmaar
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ajax - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.65) |
3.64 ↓
(4.1) |
4.03 ↓
(4.8) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - AZ Alkmaar?
The most likely score is 2:1.
User prediction is Ajax will win! (17 of 19 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Ajax is a favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: Pasveer R.
(Groin Injury)
Rasmussen C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Regeer Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Weghorst W.
(Toe Injury)
Wijndal O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Addai J.
(Ankle Injury)
Goes W.
(Yellow Cards)
Mijnans S.
(Muscle Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: van Axel Dongen A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
Lahdo M.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ajax won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 30:22 (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:7 (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against AZ Alkmaar?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Ajax?
AZ Alkmaar has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
14.01.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
08.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:1
25.02.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
08.10.2023
Ajax
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:2
06.05.2023
Ajax
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 100:38 | 62 | 76 |
| 2 | Ajax ✔ | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 33 | 75 |
| 3 | Feyenoord ✔ | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 76:36 | 40 | 68 |
| 4 | Utrecht ✔ | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 63 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar ✔ | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 6 | Twente ✔ | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 62:47 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | G.A. Eagles ✔ | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54:50 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Nijmegen | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 49:45 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40:57 | -17 | 40 |
| 10 | Sittard | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Groningen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 41:61 | -20 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 33:57 | -24 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Waalwijk | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 39:71 | -32 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere City ✔ | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 22:63 | -41 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Feyenoord is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Utrecht is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
Almere City is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
Which TV channels are streaming of Ajax - AZ Alkmaar?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
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 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
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 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
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 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 6 |
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 Poland | Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
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 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport ESPN |
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 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
