Ayutthaya United vs Buriram United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Thai League 1 Ayutthaya United - Buriram United
Result
1:4
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Thai League 1 - Round 6
Ayutthaya United - Buriram United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.512.58
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
81% (297/367)88% (489/555)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.512.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.663.58
Total shots
613
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
729
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
711
Passes
81% (297/367)88% (489/555)
Long passes
46% (21/46)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
65% (54/83)75% (140/186)
Crosses
18% (2/11)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.73
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
117
Tackles
44% (4/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
2237
Clearances
819
Interceptions
815
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
3.580.66
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 21', Zulj P. 🟨,
  • 27', Sataporn W. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Zulj P. (Pen),
  • 40', 0 - 2, Mulic F. , Bunmathan T. (A),
  • 45+4', 0 - 3, Mulic F. , Zulj R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Zulj P. , Jaided S. ,
  • 46', Zulj R. , Causic G. ,
  • 46', Pombuppha C. , Laptrakul C. ,
  • 46', Bunsan K. , Conrado ,
  • 54', 1 - 3, Islame Y. , Caique Lemes (A),
  • 60', Chotmuangpak T. , Mueanta S. ,
  • 64', Mueanta S. , Charoenrattanapirom P. ,
  • 69', Worasut N. , Biaothungoi P. ,
  • 77', Mulic F. , Sukjitthammakul P. ,
  • 82', Biaothungoi P. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Dougall K. , Causic G. (A),
  • 87', Conrado 🟨,
  • 88', Diego Carioca , Dechmitr S. ,

Chances of winning


Ayutthaya United
8.5%
Draw
12.1%
Buriram United
79.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.3% 17.2% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8% 16.6% 72.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayutthaya United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buriram United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ayutthaya United - Buriram United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.65
    (6.89)
    8.2
    (5.34)
    1.25
    (1.32)
    0.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In recent matches, Ayutthaya United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Buriram is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ayutthaya United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Buriram is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayutthaya United - Buriram United were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Ayutthaya United - Buriram United 0:3
    Latest results of Ayutthaya United
    Latest results of Buriram United
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram761020:81219
    2Bangkok Utd751114:9516
    3Ratchaburi74128:4413
    4Rayong FC732211:9211
    5Pathum United732210:8211
    6Port MTI FC731315:6910
    7Chiangrai Utd72327:709
    8Prachuap72327:709
    9Muang Thong Utd72329:10-19
    10Sukhothai71425:6-17
    11Ayutthaya Utd714212:14-27
    12Nakhon Ratchasima FC71426:9-37
    13Lamphun Warrior713311:16-56
    14Kanchanaburi71338:16-86
    15Chonburi70434:9-54
    16Uthai Thani70346:15-93

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ayutthaya United - Buriram United?
    It is being streamed on channel
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