Ayacucho vs Sporting Cristal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal
Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.18
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
74% (171/231)88% (423/479)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.162.74
Total shots
610
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1417
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
93
Free Kicks
108
Passes
74% (171/231)88% (423/479)
Long passes
30% (13/44)67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
52% (33/63)75% (63/84)
Crosses
21% (3/14)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.72
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
810
Tackles
73% (8/11)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3231
Clearances
713
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.741.16
Goals prevented
-1.260.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Avila I. , Moretti J. (A),
  • 11', Valencia J. 🟥,
  • 14', Ferreira M. , Izaguirre P. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Uribe C. , Perez Azambuya E. M. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 2, Sosa M. , Alarcon J. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 3, Avila I. , Wisdom I. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 4, Wisdom I. , Avila I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Uribe C. , Correa Flores C. A. ,
  • 46', Falconi J. , Barrios K. ,
  • 50', Pasquini N. 🟨,
  • 56', Sosa M. , Castro M. ,
  • 58', Diaz L. 🟨,
  • 64', Moretti J. , Lora F. ,
  • 65', Tamariz A. 🟨,
  • 66', Medina F. , Villamarin J. ,
  • 69', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
  • 72', Perez Azambuya E. M. , Rios M. ,
  • 79', Avila I. , Mendoza Cornejo F. G. ,
  • 79', Diaz L. , Posito Olazabal A. J. ,

Chances of winning


Ayacucho
42.3%
Draw
27.5%
Sporting Cristal
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 25.6% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 24.8% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.
  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayacucho that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.85)
    3.46
    (3.65)
    3.09
    (2.25)
    5.1%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 0.
    • Ayacucho is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sporting Cristal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Ayacucho: Ganoza M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Pretell J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 21:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    05.10.2022 Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal 0:1
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1172227:101723
    2FBC Melgar1172220:12823
    3Sporting Cristal1271422:15722
    4Alianza Atl1271418:11722
    5Sport Huancayo1271419:15422
    6Cusco1262423:17620
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1362520:14620
    8Alianza Lima1162313:10320
    9AD Tarma1354422:23-119
    10Sport Boys1144320:19116
    11Los Chankas1236317:17015
    12Cajamarca1242613:23-1014
    13Cienciano1134416:17-113
    14Binacional1133514:19-512
    15Grau1025313:17-411
    16Juan Pablo II1022611:16-58
    17Comerciantes Unidos1115513:21-88
    18Alianza Huanuco1113710:22-126
    19Ayacucho121389:22-136

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