Ayacucho vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Ayacucho - Alianza Lima
Result
0:1
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
Ayacucho - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.11
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
13
Shots on target
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
63% (29/46)79% (64/81)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.00
Total shots
13
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
12
Shots outside the Box
01
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
32
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
11
Passes
63% (29/46)79% (64/81)
Long passes
29% (4/14)44% (7/16)
Passes in final third
29% (4/14)55% (16/29)
Crosses
0% (0/2)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.160.09
Throw-ins
44
Fouls
11
Tackles
100% (4/4)100% (2/2)
Duels won
76
Clearances
113
Interceptions
41
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.00
Goals prevented
-1.000.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Orue D. 🟨,
  • 41', Gentile G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yovera A. , Lucumi J. ,
  • 46', Perez Azambuya E. M. , Caballero F. ,
  • 46', Gaibor F. , Barcos H. ,
  • 46', Arrasco M. , Archimbaud J. ,
  • 59', Vilchez J. , de la Cruz A. ,
  • 62', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
  • 63', Gentile G. , Cantero A. ,
  • 67', Estrada J. , Huaman M. ,
  • 70', Zambrano C. , Chavez G. ,
  • 72', Archimbaud J. 🟨,
  • 76', 0 - 1, Ceppelini P. (Pen),
  • 77', Ceppelini P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Noriega E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ayacucho
23.4%
Draw
27.6%
Alianza Lima
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 28.2% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 28.8% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Ayacucho - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.02
    (4.14)
    3.37
    (3.35)
    1.9
    (1.93)
    7.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Ayacucho: Correa Flores C. A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Delgado J. (Broken nose) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Tendon Injury) Paolo Guerrero (Ankle Injury) Pena S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Ayacucho: Barrios K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cantero A. (Muscle Injury) Cari P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Alianza Lima - Ayacucho 2:0
    25.10.2022 Ayacucho - Alianza Lima 0:1
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes743011:4715
    2Sporting Cristal642013:21114
    3Cusco54107:1613
    4Deportivo Garcilaso73409:4513
    5Alianza Lima73317:5212
    6Alianza Huanuco73139:10-110
    7Sport Huancayo723210:1009
    8FBC Melgar72327:8-19
    9Los Chankas63039:13-49
    10Cienciano62227:528
    11Grau72149:11-27
    12AD Tarma72145:11-67
    13Alianza Atl51313:216
    14Juan Pablo II61326:8-26
    15Comerciantes Unidos61237:10-35
    16Ayacucho61145:9-44
    17Sport Boys71152:9-74
    18Cajamarca50234:8-42
    19Binacional00000:000

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