Alianza Lima vs Ayacucho: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Lima - Ayacucho
Result
2:0
07/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
Alianza Lima - Ayacucho - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.66
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
256
Shots on Goal
121
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
72
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
110
Free Kicks
1414
Offsides
03
Fouls
1414
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1914
Touches in the Opposition Box
2313
Passes
85% (316/373)81% (297/367)
Passes in the final third
76% (90/118)57% (46/81)
Crosses
25% (2/8)27% (4/15)
Tackles
92% (11/12)75% (12/16)
Clearances Total
2522
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
  • 41', 2 - 0, Lagos R. , Cantero A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yovera A. , Tamariz A. ,
  • 46', Ramirez D. , Lucumi J. ,
  • 58', Bilbao J. 🟨,
  • 66', Ferreira M. , Villamarin J. ,
  • 66', Medina F. , Falconi J. ,
  • 67', Navarro G. 🟨,
  • 68', Quevedo K. , Aguirre G. ,
  • 69', Cantero A. , Succar M. ,
  • 71', Uribe C. , Salem J. ,
  • 74', Ganoza M. 🟨,
  • 78', Succar M. 🟨,
  • 87', D'Arrigo J. , Trauco M. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
75.9%
Draw
15.8%
Ayacucho
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 22.8% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 21.7% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Lima's performance.
  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Lima that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alianza Lima - Ayacucho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.49)
    5.94
    (4.08)
    11.11
    (6.41)
    7.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Ayacucho?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 3.
    • Alianza Lima in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Ayacucho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Alianza Lima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Alianza Lima is absolute favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34:19 (average 1.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:7 (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Ayacucho were as follows:
    25.10.2022 Ayacucho - Alianza Lima 0:1
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1072127:91823
    2Deportivo Garcilaso1162319:10920
    3FBC Melgar1062218:11720
    4Sport Huancayo1161418:15319
    5Alianza Lima1061312:9319
    6AD Tarma1153319:19018
    7Alianza Atl1051416:11516
    8Cusco1051417:13416
    9Sporting Cristal1051416:13316
    10Sport Boys1144320:19116
    11Cienciano1034315:15013
    12Binacional1133514:19-512
    13Los Chankas1025312:13-111
    14Cajamarca1032510:21-1111
    15Grau924312:16-410
    16Comerciantes Unidos1015413:19-68
    17Juan Pablo II92169:14-57
    18Ayacucho111378:18-106
    19Alianza Huanuco1013610:21-116

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Alianza Lima - Ayacucho?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
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