Ayacucho vs Alianza Atlético: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético
Result
0:2
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.33
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
83% (275/333)59% (67/114)
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.061.12
Total shots
89
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1211
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
911
Passes
83% (275/333)59% (67/114)
Long passes
64% (37/58)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
65% (56/86)48% (30/62)
Crosses
26% (5/19)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.41
Throw-ins
1226
Fouls
119
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3733
Clearances
2421
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.120.08
Goals prevented
-0.880.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Ramirez D. , Medina F. ,
  • 21', Orue D. 🟨,
  • 28', Ferreira M. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Graneros A. (Pen),
  • 36', Fernandez S. 🟨,
  • 45', Navarro G. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Perleche E. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Castro R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Castro R. , Olmedo L. ,
  • 46', Ferreira M. , Ataupillco J. ,
  • 48', Ganoza M. 🟨,
  • 53', Fernandez S. , Guzman P. ,
  • 53', Perez M. , Larios Saavedra G. A. ,
  • 57', Barrios K. , Yovera A. ,
  • 58', Villamarin J. , Lucumi J. ,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Perleche E. , Graneros A. (A),
  • 71', Perleche E. , Cossio A. ,
  • 71', Orue D. , Ruidiaz Y. ,
  • 79', Graneros A. , del Castillo J. ,
  • 79', Prieto D. 🟨,
  • 84', Lupu H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ayacucho
45.2%
Draw
30.1%
Alianza Atlético
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 29.2% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 29.6% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.28)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    3.79
    (3.21)
    7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 3.
    • Ayacucho has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Alianza Atlético is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alianza Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ayacucho will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Espinosa R. (Muscle Injury) Vilchez Y. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:15 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ayacucho won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
    19.09.2022 Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético 2:0
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    19.04.2025 Cusco - Ayacucho 3:0
    11.04.2025 Ayacucho - Cajamarca 0:1
    27.03.2025 Ayacucho - FBC Melgar 2:3
    07.03.2025 Alianza Lima - Ayacucho 2:0
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1786327:19830
    5Sport Huancayo1793523:18530
    6Cusco1684429:191028
    7Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1757524:25-122
    11AD Tarma1756623:30-721
    12Sport Boys1655625:25020
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1753917:34-1718
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1644819:26-716
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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