Alianza Atlético vs Ayacucho: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho
Result
3:0
22/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Garcia C. (Per)
Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.52
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
72% (204/284)73% (264/362)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.00
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
72% (204/284)73% (264/362)
Long passes
41% (26/64)39% (28/71)
Passes in final third
64% (63/98)52% (47/91)
Crosses
16% (3/19)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.88
Throw-ins
1735
Fouls
1311
Tackles
67% (14/21)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
3620
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.002.61
Goals prevented
0.00-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', Ataupillco J. , Yovera A. ,
  • 8', 1 - 0, Graneros A. , Olmedo L. (A),
  • 14', 2 - 0, Graneros A. , Gordillo A. (A),
  • 43', Gordillo A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucumi J. , Salcedo R. ,
  • 46', Barrios K. , Arakaki H. ,
  • 46', Orue D. , de la Cruz A. ,
  • 56', 3 - 0, Larios Saavedra G. A. , Lupu H. (A),
  • 63', Lupu H. , Benincasa H. ,
  • 63', Larios Saavedra G. A. , Diaz R. ,
  • 63', Olmedo L. , Castro R. ,
  • 64', Ganoza M. 🟨,
  • 70', Peral P. 🟥,
  • 71', Gordillo A. , Vasquez C. ,
  • 76', Diaz R. 🟨,
  • 79', Graneros A. , Perez M. ,
  • 81', Perez Azambuya E. M. , Caballero F. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
67%
Draw
21.6%
Ayacucho
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 22.5% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.
  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Atlético that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.54)
    4.61
    (3.8)
    8.86
    (5)
    2.3%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3.
    • Recent form of Alianza Atlético has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Alianza Atlético is the undisputed favorite.
    • There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Ysique F. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético 0:2
    19.09.2022 Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético 2:0
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    18.09.2025 Ayacucho - Cusco 0:1
    12.09.2025 Cajamarca - Ayacucho 0:1
    17.08.2025 FBC Melgar - Ayacucho 2:1
    09.08.2025 Ayacucho - Alianza Lima 0:1
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1073018:81024
    2Cusco961213:8519
    3Deportivo Garcilaso1046014:8618
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5AD Tarma1051411:12-116
    6Alianza Lima943214:9515
    7FBC Melgar1135316:13314
    8Grau1042415:13214
    9Cienciano933314:12212
    10Sport Huancayo1133517:19-212
    11Comerciantes Unidos1033411:15-412
    12Los Chankas840412:20-812
    13Alianza Atl92436:4210
    14Juan Pablo II92438:10-210
    15Ayacucho103168:14-610
    16Alianza Huanuco1031611:18-710
    17Sport Boys112368:15-79
    18Cajamarca90366:14-83
    19Binacional00000:000

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