Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka
Result
3:1
20/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 11
Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.60
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
67% (181/269)76% (327/428)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.11
Total shots
713
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1025
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
67% (181/269)76% (327/428)
Long passes
22% (14/65)40% (27/68)
Passes in final third
48% (38/80)59% (82/139)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.86
Fouls
1116
Tackles
73% (8/11)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5252
Clearances Total
4011
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.111.67
Goals prevented
0.11-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Matsuzaki K. , Capixaba (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Miki T. (Pen),
  • 17', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
  • 38', Maejima Y. 🟨,
  • 39', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Matheus Bueno , Matsuzaki K. (A),
  • 45+5', 3 - 1, Matsuzaki K. , Kitazume K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Maejima Y. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 61', Zahedi S. , Wellington ,
  • 61', Fujimoto K. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 68', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 68', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 79', Nago S. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 79', Konno K. , Kamijima T. ,
  • 81', Kitagawa K. , Haneda K. ,
  • 82', Oki Y. 🟨,
  • 88', Yoshida Y. , Yamahara R. ,
  • 88', Inui T. , Douglas Tanque ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
35%
Draw
31.2%
Avispa Fukuoka
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 28.8% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 27.9% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimizu S-Pulse that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (3.12)
    2.99
    (3.26)
    2.77
    (2.29)
    7.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Shimizu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Avispa Fukuoka is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Shimizu have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:2
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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