Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

: J1 League - Round 27

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.78
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
86% (390/452)	79% (263/331)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	0.25
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
32	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
86% (390/452)	79% (263/331)
Long passes
53% (21/40)	20% (10/49)
Passes in final third
77% (114/148)	65% (60/93)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	11% (3/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	0.80
Throw-ins
18	18
Fouls
15	9
Tackles
77% (10/13)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
58	38
Clearances
31	16
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.25	0.66
Goals prevented
0.25	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kim Min-Tae 🟨,
59', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
60', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
61', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
61', Capixaba ↓, Inui T. ↑,
61', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
61', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
76', Brunetti M. 🟨,
76', Miki T. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
76', Fujimoto K. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
82', Brunetti M. 🟨,
84', Takahashi T. ↓, Sumiyoshi J. ↑,
85', Matsuoka D. ↓, Wellington ↑,
88', Yamahara R. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
42.4%

Draw
29%

Shimizu S-Pulse
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.37)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)	3.28 ↑ (3.11)	5.9% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 30.4% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
Avispa Fukuoka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
Avispa Fukuoka might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:

20.04.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka 3:1

17.09.2022 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:2

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

16.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 2:5 ✺

06.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 3:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

21.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

17.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Honda FC 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama FC 2:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	31	19	4	8	48:28	20	61
2	Vissel Kobe	31	17	6	8	41:26	15	57
3	Kyoto	31	16	8	7	54:33	21	56
4	Kashiwa Reysol	31	15	11	5	43:29	14	56
5	Machida	31	15	7	9	47:33	14	52
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	31	15	7	9	35:21	14	52
7	Kawasaki Frontale	31	14	9	8	55:40	15	51
8	Urawa Reds	31	13	9	9	39:32	7	48
9	Gamba Osaka	31	14	4	13	42:45	-3	46
10	Cerezo Osaka	31	11	10	10	48:45	3	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	31	10	10	11	33:36	-3	40
12	Okayama	31	11	7	13	28:33	-5	40
13	FC Tokyo	31	11	7	13	33:42	-9	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	31	9	10	12	30:35	-5	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	31	9	9	13	38:43	-5	36
16	Verdy	31	9	8	14	20:35	-15	35
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	31	7	7	17	29:41	-12	28
18	Yokohama FC	31	7	7	17	20:36	-16	28
19	Shonan Bellmare	31	6	7	18	28:55	-27	25
20	Albirex Niigata	31	4	9	18	27:50	-23	21

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan