Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka
Result
3:1
20/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 11
Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.60
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
67% (181/269)76% (327/428)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.11
Total shots
713
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1025
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
67% (181/269)76% (327/428)
Long passes
22% (14/65)40% (27/68)
Passes in final third
48% (38/80)59% (82/139)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.86
Fouls
1116
Tackles
73% (8/11)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5252
Clearances Total
4011
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.111.67
Goals prevented
0.11-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Matsuzaki K. , Capixaba (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Miki T. (Pen),
  • 17', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
  • 38', Maejima Y. 🟨,
  • 39', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Matheus Bueno , Matsuzaki K. (A),
  • 45+5', 3 - 1, Matsuzaki K. , Kitazume K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Maejima Y. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 61', Zahedi S. , Wellington ,
  • 61', Fujimoto K. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 68', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 68', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 79', Nago S. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 79', Konno K. , Kamijima T. ,
  • 81', Kitagawa K. , Haneda K. ,
  • 82', Oki Y. 🟨,
  • 88', Yoshida Y. , Yamahara R. ,
  • 88', Inui T. , Douglas Tanque ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
35%
Draw
31.2%
Avispa Fukuoka
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 28.8% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 27.9% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimizu S-Pulse that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (3.12)
    2.99
    (3.26)
    2.77
    (2.29)
    7.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Shimizu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Avispa Fukuoka is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Shimizu have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:2
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers15101424:111331
    2Kashiwa Reysol1476116:10627
    3Kyoto1683523:20327
    4Urawa Reds1574417:12525
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1472513:11223
    6Gamba Osaka1572619:20-123
    7Shimizu S-Pulse1563619:17221
    8Vissel Kobe1363413:11221
    9Avispa Fukuoka1563614:15-121
    10Machida1562715:16-120
    11Verdy1555511:14-320
    12Cerezo Osaka1554623:22119
    13Okayama1554611:11019
    14Kawasaki Frontale1246219:11818
    15Shonan Bellmare1553710:19-918
    16FC Tokyo1444614:17-316
    17Nagoya Grampus1543817:23-615
    18Albirex Niigata1426615:20-512
    19Yokohama FC143388:15-712
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1215611:17-68

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka?
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