Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

: J1 League - Round 27

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.78
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
86% (390/452)	79% (263/331)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	0.25
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
32	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
86% (390/452)	79% (263/331)
Long passes
53% (21/40)	20% (10/49)
Passes in final third
77% (114/148)	65% (60/93)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	11% (3/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	0.80
Throw-ins
18	18
Fouls
15	9
Tackles
77% (10/13)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
58	38
Clearances
31	16
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.25	0.66
Goals prevented
0.25	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kim Min-Tae 🟨,
59', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
60', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
61', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
61', Capixaba ↓, Inui T. ↑,
61', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
61', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
76', Brunetti M. 🟨,
76', Miki T. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
76', Fujimoto K. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
82', Brunetti M. 🟨,
84', Takahashi T. ↓, Sumiyoshi J. ↑,
85', Matsuoka D. ↓, Wellington ↑,
88', Yamahara R. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
42.4%

Draw
29%

Shimizu S-Pulse
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.37)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)	3.28 ↑ (3.11)	5.9% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 30.4% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
Avispa Fukuoka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
Avispa Fukuoka might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:

20.04.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka 3:1

17.09.2022 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:2

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

16.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 2:5 ✺

06.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 3:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

21.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

17.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Honda FC 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama FC 2:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	28	16	6	6	52:30	22	54
2	Kashiwa Reysol	28	15	8	5	42:28	14	53
3	Vissel Kobe	29	16	5	8	37:26	11	53
4	Kashima Antlers	28	16	4	8	41:27	14	52
5	Machida	29	15	5	9	45:31	14	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	29	15	5	9	34:20	14	50
7	Urawa Reds	28	13	8	7	39:30	9	47
8	Kawasaki Frontale	28	12	9	7	50:38	12	45
9	Gamba Osaka	29	12	4	13	38:44	-6	40
10	Cerezo Osaka	28	10	9	9	42:39	3	39
11	Okayama	28	11	6	11	26:28	-2	39
12	Avispa Fukuoka	28	9	10	9	28:28	0	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	28	8	9	11	31:36	-5	33
14	Verdy	28	8	8	12	16:28	-12	32
15	FC Tokyo	28	8	7	13	30:42	-12	31
16	Nagoya Grampus	28	7	8	13	34:42	-8	29
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	28	6	7	15	26:35	-9	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	28	6	7	15	26:47	-21	25
19	Yokohama FC	28	6	5	17	18:35	-17	23
20	Albirex Niigata	28	4	8	16	27:48	-21	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan