Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 17
Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.10
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
76% (302/396)75% (292/391)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.22
Total shots
712
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2015
Passes
76% (302/396)75% (292/391)
Long passes
37% (26/71)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
65% (93/142)61% (72/118)
Crosses
20% (3/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.07
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1520
Tackles
50% (7/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
6740
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.220.53
Goals prevented
0.22-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Shiihashi K. 🟨,
  • 60', Mateus 🟨,
  • 64', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
  • 65', Mateus , Nagai K. ,
  • 65', Izumi R. , Asano Y. ,
  • 73', Konno K. , Fujimoto K. ,
  • 73', Shigemi M. , Akino H. ,
  • 77', Yamagishi Y. , Morishima T. ,
  • 79', Iwasaki Y. , Kanamori T. ,
  • 79', Maejima Y. , Yuzawa M. ,
  • 81', 0 - 1, Tokumoto S. , Nakayama K. (A),
  • 84', Nakayama K. , Nogami Y. ,
  • 84', Tokumoto S. , Uchida T. ,
  • 86', Nago S. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Kanamori T. , Fujimoto K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
33.1%
Draw
33.1%
Nagoya Grampus
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 31.6% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 31.3% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avispa Fukuoka's form might have worsened.
  • Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagoya Grampus's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagoya Grampus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.36)
    2.84
    (2.98)
    2.78
    (3.29)
    6.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 4.
    • Recent form of Avispa Fukuoka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nagoya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    07.04.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0
    15.10.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    11.10.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    16.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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