Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga
Result
2:2
21/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 24
Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.83
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (307/367)74% (204/276)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.021.50
Total shots
179
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
138
Passes
84% (307/367)74% (204/276)
Long passes
63% (26/41)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
75% (99/132)65% (62/96)
Crosses
35% (11/31)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.90
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
813
Tackles
77% (10/13)88% (7/8)
Duels won
6334
Clearances
2133
Interceptions
09
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.502.02
Goals prevented
0.500.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Leo Gomes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Sugai H. , Sato K. ,
  • 46', Appiah Tawiah H. , Miyamoto Y. ,
  • 52', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Kamijima T. (Own goal),
  • 55', Fujimoto K. , Yuzawa M. ,
  • 55', Usui S. , Wellington ,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Hara T. (Pen),
  • 65', Nagasawa S. , Rafael Elias ,
  • 67', Akino H. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 67', Nara T. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 74', Leo Gomes , Takeda S. ,
  • 84', Nago S. , Ben Khalifa N. ,
  • 86', Hirato T. , Patrick William ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Wellington , Shigemi M. (A),
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Shigemi M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
33.7%
Draw
30.4%
Kyoto Sanga
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 31.1% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 31.9% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.85)
    3.09
    (3.04)
    2.63
    (2.66)
    6.3%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
    • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Tashiro M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    07.07.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 1:2
    11.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 2:3
    26.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0
    09.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds24108632:24838
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2488821:23-232
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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