Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

: J1 League - Round 24

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.83
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
84% (307/367)	74% (204/276)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.02	1.50
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
28	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
84% (307/367)	74% (204/276)
Long passes
63% (26/41)	36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
75% (99/132)	65% (62/96)
Crosses
35% (11/31)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	0.90
Throw-ins
20	16
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
77% (10/13)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
63	34
Clearances
21	33
Interceptions
0	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.50	2.02
Goals prevented
0.50	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Leo Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
46', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Miyamoto Y. ↑,
52', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Kamijima T. (Own goal),
55', Fujimoto K. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
55', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Hara T. (Pen),
65', Nagasawa S. ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
67', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
67', Nara T. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
74', Leo Gomes ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
84', Nago S. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
86', Hirato T. ↓, Patrick William ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Wellington ⚽, Shigemi M. (A),
90+6', 2 - 2, Shigemi M. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
33.7%

Draw
30.4%

Kyoto Sanga
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

31.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	3.09 ↑ (3.04)	2.63 ↓ (2.66)	6.3% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Tashiro M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Kyoto Sanga?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

09.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1

07.07.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 1:2

11.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 2:3

26.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0

09.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

16.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:0 ✺

28.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe 0:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 3:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Okinawa SV 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

16.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama FC 4:3 ✺

05.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

28.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka 3:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan