Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka
Result
0:1
15/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 20
Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.211.77
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
721
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
70% (204/291)77% (268/349)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.211.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.77
Total shots
721
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
513
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1732
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
812
Passes
70% (204/291)77% (268/349)
Long passes
32% (18/56)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
56% (63/112)68% (74/109)
Crosses
33% (7/21)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.59
Throw-ins
1835
Fouls
128
Tackles
61% (11/18)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4975
Clearances
2332
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.770.04
Goals prevented
-0.230.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Sato R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Ichimi K. , Lucao ,
  • 56', Sato R. , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 67', Fujimoto K. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Ando T. , Iwasaki Y. (A),
  • 72', Kamiya Yuta , Motoyama H. ,
  • 72', Kimura T. , Werik Popo ,
  • 74', Kitajima Y. , Nago S. ,
  • 74', Hashimoto Y. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 77', Motoyama H. 🟨,
  • 83', Werik Popo 🟨,
  • 84', Kudo K. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 86', Konno K. , Kanamori T. ,
  • 86', Akino H. , Shigemi M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
38.9%
Draw
33.2%
Avispa Fukuoka
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 33.9% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 34.8% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.56)
    2.82
    (2.78)
    3.36
    (3.2)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Werik Popo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama 1:1
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds24108632:24838
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2488821:23-232
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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