Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

: J1 League - Round 21

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.53
Ball Possession
31%	69%
Total shots
8	10
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
79% (224/282)	91% (573/633)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.47	0.66
Total shots
8	10
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
24	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
14	8
Passes
79% (224/282)	91% (573/633)
Long passes
50% (21/42)	38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)	83% (107/129)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.54
Throw-ins
15	20
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
60% (6/10)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
41	33
Clearances
16	20
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.66	1.47
Goals prevented
-1.34	-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Inamura H. ⚽, Miyamoto E. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Konno K. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
16', 2 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
19', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
36', 2 - 2, Taniguchi K. ⚽, Danilo Gomes (A),
45', 3 - 2, Kitajima Y. ⚽, Iwasaki Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kamijima T. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
61', Miyamoto E. ↓, Akiyama H. ↑,
63', Konno K. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
63', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
75', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
75', Okumura J. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
75', Danilo Gomes ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
81', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
90', Nago S. 🟨,
90+2', Hoshi Y. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
40.9%

Draw
31.2%

Albirex Niigata
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.39)	3.05 ↑ (3.05)	3.47 ↑ (3.34)	5.7% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Niigata will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1% – 73.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
Avispa Fukuoka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Zahedi S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Albirex Niigata?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Albirex Niigata has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

02.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1

17.08.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1

25.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2

18.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1

24.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Okinawa SV 2:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

15.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fukuyama City 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 2:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	30	18	4	8	45:27	18	58
2	Kyoto	30	16	7	7	53:32	21	55
3	Kashiwa Reysol	30	15	10	5	43:29	14	55
4	Vissel Kobe	30	16	6	8	37:26	11	54
5	Machida	30	15	6	9	46:32	14	51
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	30	15	6	9	35:21	14	51
7	Kawasaki Frontale	30	13	9	8	53:39	14	48
8	Urawa Reds	30	13	8	9	39:32	7	47
9	Cerezo Osaka	30	11	10	9	47:42	5	43
10	Gamba Osaka	30	13	4	13	39:44	-5	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39
12	Okayama	30	11	6	13	28:33	-5	39
13	Avispa Fukuoka	30	9	10	11	30:34	-4	37
14	FC Tokyo	30	10	7	13	32:42	-10	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	30	9	8	13	38:43	-5	35
16	Verdy	30	9	8	13	20:31	-11	35
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	30	7	7	16	28:38	-10	28
18	Yokohama FC	30	7	6	17	20:36	-16	27
19	Shonan Bellmare	30	6	7	17	27:53	-26	25
20	Albirex Niigata	30	4	8	18	27:50	-23	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan