Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata
Result
3:2
21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.53
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
79% (224/282)91% (573/633)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.66
Total shots
810
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
148
Passes
79% (224/282)91% (573/633)
Long passes
50% (21/42)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)83% (107/129)
Crosses
25% (3/12)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.54
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
814
Tackles
60% (6/10)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4133
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.661.47
Goals prevented
-1.34-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Inamura H. , Miyamoto E. (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Konno K. , Kitajima Y. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 1, Usui S. , Hashimoto Y. (A),
  • 19', Fujimoto K. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 36', 2 - 2, Taniguchi K. , Danilo Gomes (A),
  • 45', 3 - 2, Kitajima Y. , Iwasaki Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kamijima T. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 61', Miyamoto E. , Akiyama H. ,
  • 63', Konno K. , Nago S. ,
  • 63', Akino H. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 75', Hasegawa M. , Kasai K. ,
  • 75', Okumura J. , Ota S. ,
  • 75', Danilo Gomes , Yamura K. ,
  • 81', Usui S. , Wellington ,
  • 90', Nago S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hoshi Y. , Takagi Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
40.9%
Draw
31.2%
Albirex Niigata
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.4% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 31.2% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.39)
    3.05
    (3.05)
    3.47
    (3.34)
    5.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Niigata will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
    • Avispa Fukuoka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
    • Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Zahedi S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    17.08.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    25.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2
    18.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    24.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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