Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata
Result
3:2
21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.53
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
79% (224/282)91% (573/633)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.66
Total shots
810
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
148
Passes
79% (224/282)91% (573/633)
Long passes
50% (21/42)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)83% (107/129)
Crosses
25% (3/12)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.54
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
814
Tackles
60% (6/10)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4133
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.661.47
Goals prevented
-1.34-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Inamura H. , Miyamoto E. (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Konno K. , Kitajima Y. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 1, Usui S. , Hashimoto Y. (A),
  • 19', Fujimoto K. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 36', 2 - 2, Taniguchi K. , Danilo Gomes (A),
  • 45', 3 - 2, Kitajima Y. , Iwasaki Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kamijima T. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 61', Miyamoto E. , Akiyama H. ,
  • 63', Konno K. , Nago S. ,
  • 63', Akino H. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 75', Hasegawa M. , Kasai K. ,
  • 75', Okumura J. , Ota S. ,
  • 75', Danilo Gomes , Yamura K. ,
  • 81', Usui S. , Wellington ,
  • 90', Nago S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hoshi Y. , Takagi Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
40.9%
Draw
31.2%
Albirex Niigata
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.4% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 31.2% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.39)
    3.05
    (3.05)
    3.47
    (3.34)
    5.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Niigata will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
    • Avispa Fukuoka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
    • Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Zahedi S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    17.08.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    25.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2
    18.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    24.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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