Aviron Bayonnais vs Toulouse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union French Top 14 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse
Result
40:26
05/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Top 14 - Round 5
Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
53
Conversion Goals
30
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
34
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 16)
  • 10', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Lebel M. (Try),
  • 16', Iturria A. (Try),
  • 16', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 28', Ntamack T. (Try),
  • 31', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 34', Tuilagi M. 🟨,
  • 35', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 39', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (24 - 10)
  • 44', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 52', Germain B. (Try),
  • 54', Colombe Reazel G. (Try),
  • 61', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Capilla E. (Try),
  • 70', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Tiberghien C. (Try),
  • 74', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Spring T. (Try),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aviron Bayonnais
37.3%
Draw
4.3%
Toulouse
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 4.9% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.4)
    21.35
    (18.5)
    1.6
    (1.6)
    8.4%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 52.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Toulouse will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bayonne (votes: 2 - 40%). Toulouse (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 2.
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 335:506. (average 17.6:26.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 182:151. (average 20.2:16.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse were as follows:
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    22.02.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 41:6
    03.11.2024 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse 12:8
    03.02.2024 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 46:26
    18.08.2023 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse 26:7
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    28.09.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 35:32
    20.09.2025 Castres - Aviron Bayonnais 48:17
    06.09.2025 Perpignan - Aviron Bayonnais 19:26
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    Latest results of Toulouse
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Castres 59:12
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulouse 44:14
    13.09.2025 Toulouse - Perpignan 31:13
    07.09.2025 Clermont - Toulouse 24:34
    28.06.2025 Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles 39:33
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais5401144:14816
    2Stade Francais Paris5302150:11815
    3Bordeaux Begles5302165:13414
    4Stade Toulousain5302164:13314
    5RC Toulonnais4301108:8114
    6Section Paloise5302135:12314
    7Montpellier5212143:10213
    8Racing 925302138:13013
    9Lyon5302134:13413
    10Castres Olympique5203107:12511
    11Stade Rochelais420296:8410
    12Clermont5203205:16910
    13Montauban5014119:2492
    14USA Perpignan500566:1440

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    chileChileDisney+
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    franceFranceCANAL+ France
    peruPeruDisney+
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