Aviron Bayonnais vs Exeter Chiefs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union European Rugby Champions Cup Aviron Bayonnais - Exeter Chiefs
Result
40:17
21/01/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 4
Aviron Bayonnais - Exeter Chiefs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Aviron Bayonnais
33.3%
Draw
4.1%
Exeter Chiefs
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 4.4% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 4.3% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aviron Bayonnais's form might have worsened.
  • Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter Chiefs's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aviron Bayonnais, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter Chiefs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aviron Bayonnais - Exeter Chiefs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.1)
    22
    (20.67)
    1.46
    (1.76)
    9.1%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Exeter Chiefs?
    The most likely score is 23:29. User prediction is Exeter Chiefs will win! (13 of 14 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Bayonne is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Exeter Chiefs is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Exeter Chiefs have a series of home games.
    • Exeter Chiefs will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Bayonne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33-69.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bayonne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 30-24.
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    Latest results of Exeter Chiefs
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LeinsterHarlequins62 : 0
    2Glasgow WarriorsLeicester Tigers43 : 19
    3Northampton SaintsClermont46 : 24
    4Castres OlympiqueBenetton39 : 37
    5Bordeaux BeglesUlster43 : 31
    6Stade RochelaisMunster24 : 25
    7RC ToulonnaisSaracens72 : 42
    8Stade ToulousainSale Sharks38 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1LeinsterGlasgow Warriors52 : 0
    2Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique51 : 16
    3Bordeaux BeglesMunster47 : 29
    4RC ToulonnaisStade Toulousain18 : 21

    Semi-finals
    1LeinsterNorthampton Saints34 : 37
    2Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain35 : 18

    Final
    1Northampton SaintsBordeaux Begles
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