Venezia vs Avellino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie B Venezia - Avellino
Result
4:0
03/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 28
  • Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
Venezia - Avellino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.000.12
Ball possession
73%27%
Total shots
253
Shots on target
50
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
30
Passes
94% (692/734)72% (199/276)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.000.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.00
Total shots
253
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
92
Blocked shots
111
Shots inside the box
120
Shots outside the box
133
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
501
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
911
Passes
94% (692/734)72% (199/276)
Long passes
92% (22/24)45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
90% (257/287)44% (20/45)
Crosses
25% (3/12)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.830.04
Throw ins
1816
Fouls
119
Tackles
57% (8/14)63% (17/27)
Duels won
4853
Clearances
627
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
01
xGOT faced
0.001.74
Goals prevented
0.00-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 25', Franjic B. 🟨,
  • 34', Tutino G. 🟥,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Dagasso M. , Hainaut A. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 0, Reale F. (Own goal),
  • 44', 3 - 0, Busio G. , Casas A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kumi J. , Patierno C. ,
  • 46', Palumbo M. , Le Borgne A. ,
  • 46', Enrici P. , Russo R. ,
  • 46', Perez K. , Pietrelli A. ,
  • 46', Busio G. , Yeboah J. ,
  • 46', Hainaut A. , Bohinen E. ,
  • 61', Doumbia I. , Lella N. ,
  • 61', Sounas D. , Armellino M. ,
  • 63', Le Borgne A. 🟨,
  • 67', Sagrado R. , Haps R. ,
  • 84', Insigne R. , D'Andrea L. ,
  • 86', Le Borgne A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 0, Dagasso M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Venezia
70%
Draw
19.4%
Avellino
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 20.3% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9% 19.1% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Venezia - Avellino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.4)
    4.84
    (4.58)
    8.81
    (7.07)
    6.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Venezia - Avellino?
    • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 62.2%100%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).
    • Venezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Avellino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Venezia is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Inactive) Compagnon M. (Inactive) Duncan A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Izzo A. (Muscle Injury) Palmiero L. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Avellino were as follows:
    08.12.2025 Avellino - Venezia 1:1
    Latest results of Venezia
    21.02.2026 Venezia - Pescara 3:2
    14.02.2026 Cesena - Venezia 0:4
    10.02.2026 Venezia - Modena 0:2
    07.02.2026 Frosinone - Venezia 1:2
    Latest results of Avellino
    28.02.2026 Avellino - Juve Stabia 0:0
    22.02.2026 Reggiana - Avellino 1:1
    15.02.2026 Avellino - Pescara 0:1
    11.02.2026 Avellino - Frosinone 1:3
    08.02.2026 Monza - Avellino 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia30197460:253564
    2Monza30196549:252463
    3Frosinone301611357:302759
    4Palermo30169549:252457
    5Catanzaro301410648:351352
    6Modena30138940:241647
    7Juve Stabia30914733:35-241
    8Cesena301171238:43-540
    9Sudtirol30814831:29238
    10Avellino30991233:47-1436
    11Padova308101231:39-834
    12Carrarese307121136:42-633
    13Empoli307111238:44-632
    14Sampdoria307101329:40-1131
    15Mantova30871532:46-1431
    16Entella307101328:42-1431
    17Bari307101329:45-1631
    18Spezia30781529:42-1329
    19Reggiana30781530:46-1629
    20Pescara305111438:54-1626

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Venezia - Avellino?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
    russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
    worldWorldOnefootball
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