Avaí vs Vila Nova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Avaí - Vila Nova
Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 17
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
Avaí - Vila Nova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.47
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
75% (268/356)79% (331/421)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.67
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
75% (268/356)79% (331/421)
Long passes
38% (26/68)41% (34/82)
Passes in final third
66% (75/114)63% (69/110)
Crosses
23% (7/31)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.31
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
1216
Tackles
80% (8/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5945
Clearances
3036
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.670.62
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Willian Formiga 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', Elias 🟨,
  • 68', Bruno Xavier , Ruan Ribeiro ,
  • 69', Halls 🟨,
  • 70', Gustavo Barreto , JP ,
  • 70', Joao Vitor , Alef Manga ,
  • 70', Cleber , Hygor ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ,
  • 77', Junior Todinho , Gabriel Poveda ,
  • 77', Igor Henrique , Paje G. ,
  • 81', Marquinhos Gabriel , Leo Reis ,
  • 84', Emerson Negueba , Thayllon ,
  • 85', Arilson , Bruno Mendes ,
  • 85', Willian Formiga , Igor Inocencio ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Paje G. ,

Chances of winning


Avaí
43.1%
Draw
32.4%
Vila Nova
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 30.2% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 29.8% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Avaí - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.96)
    2.89
    (3.09)
    3.82
    (4.25)
    6.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Avaí - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 3 - 60%). Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Avaí might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Avaí: Marcos Vinicius (Yellow Cards) Quaresma (Injury) Railan (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Walisson Maia (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Renan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive) Gabriel Poveda (Inactive) Jean Mota (Inactive) Marcondes (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Vila Nova were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Avaí - Vila Nova 3:0
    14.07.2024 Vila Nova - Avaí 2:1
    12.08.2023 Vila Nova - Avaí 1:1
    03.05.2023 Avaí - Vila Nova 0:3
    Latest results of Avaí
    14.07.2025 Athletic Club - Avaí 4:0
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    27.06.2025 Criciúma - Avaí 1:2
    17.06.2025 Volta Redonda - Avaí 1:1
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1897223:121134
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Remo1878321:16529
    6Cuiaba1884622:21128
    7Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    8Criciuma1875622:17526
    9Avai1867521:20125
    10Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    17Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1846812:22-1018

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Avaí - Vila Nova?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3
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