Atlético Goianiense vs Avaí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Atlético Goianiense - Avaí
Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 26
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
Atlético Goianiense - Avaí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.28
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
244
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
88% (372/423)69% (124/179)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.770.07
Total shots
244
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
131
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
298
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
88% (372/423)69% (124/179)
Long passes
69% (36/52)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
83% (150/180)35% (14/40)
Crosses
32% (9/28)67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.30
Throw-ins
277
Fouls
1312
Tackles
60% (6/10)65% (13/20)
Duels won
3855
Clearances
429
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.072.77
Goals prevented
-0.930.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
  • 13', Luizao 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Marcos Vinicius , Jonathan Costa (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Lele , Martinez F. (A),
  • 42', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Luizao , Danielzinho ,
  • 46', JP , Leo Reis ,
  • 51', Emerson Negueba 🟨,
  • 56', Emerson Negueba , Railan ,
  • 62', Dudu Marques , Kelvin ,
  • 65', Robert Conceicao 🟨,
  • 69', Yuri Alves , Jean Dias ,
  • 69', Robert Conceicao , Radsley ,
  • 70', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
  • 71', Cleber , Hygor ,
  • 74', Martinez F. , Maranhao ,
  • 77', Eduardo Brock , Weverton ,
  • 77', Joao Vitor , Lucas Eduardo ,
  • 78', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Lele , Guilherme Romao (A),
  • 84', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 87', Radsley 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Goianiense
42%
Draw
30%
Avaí
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 29.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 28.9% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Goianiense's form might have worsened.
  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Goianiense - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.87)
    3.11
    (3.13)
    3.48
    (4.34)
    6.3%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Atlético GO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético GO is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Andrey (Injury) DG (Yellow Cards) Jamerson (Yellow Cards) Mario Sergio (Thigh Injury) Marquinhos Gabriel (Yellow Cards) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Quaresma (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Avaí were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Avaí - Atlético Goianiense 0:0
    02.09.2023 Avaí - Atlético Goianiense 0:2
    19.05.2023 Atlético Goianiense - Avaí 0:0
    01.10.2022 Avaí - Atlético Goianiense 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Latest results of Avaí
    09.09.2025 Figueirense - Avaí 5:0
    07.09.2025 Avaí - Goiás 2:1
    02.09.2025 América Mineiro - Avaí 2:0
    25.08.2025 Avaí - Amazonas 1:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias27146733:25848
    2Coritiba27138628:171147
    3Criciuma27137734:211346
    4Novorizontino271110630:25543
    5Athletico-PR27126939:36342
    6Chapecoense-SC271251038:281041
    7Cuiaba27118832:30241
    8Remo27912628:24439
    9Atletico GO27911730:28238
    10CRB271141228:24437
    11Avai27910835:30537
    12Vila Nova FC271061126:28-236
    13Operario-PR2799929:26336
    14Athletic Club27951329:35-632
    15Ferroviaria27711930:34-432
    16America MG27861327:33-630
    17Botafogo SP27781222:39-1729
    18Amazonas27691227:39-1227
    19Volta Redonda27691216:28-1227
    20Paysandu PA274101321:32-1122

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Goianiense - Avaí?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3
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