Athletico Paranaense vs Avaí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Avaí
Result
1:1
14/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 32
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
Athletico Paranaense - Avaí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.48
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
84% (401/479)77% (314/409)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.76
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
711
Passes
84% (401/479)77% (314/409)
Long passes
50% (21/42)44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
72% (127/176)54% (36/67)
Crosses
14% (5/36)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.56
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
117
Tackles
90% (9/10)78% (14/18)
Duels won
3149
Clearances
1439
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
48
xGOT faced
1.761.73
Goals prevented
0.760.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', DG 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Joao Vitor , Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aguirre Tabares J. F. , Julimar ,
  • 46', Luiz Fernando , Mendoza S. ,
  • 50', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Julimar (Pen),
  • 63', Marcos Vinicius , Railan ,
  • 63', DG , Gaspar ,
  • 73', Leozinho , Joao Cruz ,
  • 75', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
  • 76', JP , Hygor ,
  • 86', Cleber , Thayllon ,
  • 90+1', Dudu Kogitzki , Alan Kardec ,
  • 90+6', Teran C. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
58.6%
Draw
25.7%
Avaí
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 24.9% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 23.6% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.58)
    3.64
    (3.7)
    5.93
    (5.5)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
    • In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Avaí is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Hamstring Injury) Isaac (Inactive) Teran C. (Inactive) Velasco K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Inactive) Andrey (Injury) Emerson Negueba (Yellow Cards) Igor Bohn (Injury) Quaresma (Ankle Injury) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Avaí were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Avaí - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    11.09.2022 Avaí - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Avaí
    08.10.2025 Avaí - Volta Redonda 3:0
    03.10.2025 CRB Maceio - Avaí 1:0
    29.09.2025 Avaí - Coritiba 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba32168834:211356
    2Criciuma32158942:291353
    3Novorizontino321411736:27953
    4Goias321410836:29752
    5Chapecoense-SC321561144:311351
    6Remo321312739:31851
    7Athletico-PR321471145:42349
    8Cuiaba321310938:35349
    9CRB321451338:33547
    10Atletico GO321112935:33245
    11Avai3211111040:34644
    12Vila Nova FC3211101132:33-143
    13Operario-PR321091332:36-439
    14America MG321071534:39-537
    15Athletic Club321071537:44-737
    16Ferroviaria328131136:42-637
    17Volta Redonda328101422:34-1234
    18Botafogo SP32891527:47-2033
    19Amazonas327101533:48-1531
    20Paysandu PA325111628:40-1226

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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