AV Alta vs Naples: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL League One AV Alta - Naples
Result
4:1
28/06/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL League One
AV Alta - Naples - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.11
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
88% (472/535)76% (224/295)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.831.01
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
3419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
88% (472/535)76% (224/295)
Long passes
68% (54/80)56% (36/64)
Passes in final third
74% (98/133)55% (46/84)
Crosses
50% (4/8)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.63
Throw-ins
1328
Fouls
1914
Tackles
82% (14/17)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5146
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.010.83
Goals prevented
0.01-3.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Desdunes J. , Cruz S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Torrellas M. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Blancas E. , Desdunes J. (A),
  • 61', Alassane M. 🟨,
  • 66', Cerro I. , O'Connor K. ,
  • 66', Garrett I. , Prpa L. ,
  • 69', Pajaro M. 🟨,
  • 70', Mariona J. , Aoumaich A. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Blancas E. , Desdunes J. (A),
  • 74', Weiss J. , Pasnik T. ,
  • 76', Desdunes J. , Martinez W. ,
  • 76', Villalobos J. , Huerta A. ,
  • 78', Aoumaich A. 🟨,
  • 86', 4 - 1, Blancas E. ,
  • 88', Blancas E. , Ibarra M. ,
  • 88', Pehlivanov K. , Mastrantonio L. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


AV Alta
42%
Draw
27.4%
Naples
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 28% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 27.9% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AV Alta's performance.
  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AV Alta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • AV Alta - Naples Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.49)
    3.39
    (3.26)
    3.04
    (2.57)
    7.5%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Naples may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of AV Alta
    Latest results of Naples
    31.05.2025 Miami - Naples 3:2
    25.05.2025 Naples - Union Omaha 3:1
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity1485122:91329
    2AV Alta1474325:17825
    3Charlotte Independ1373322:16624
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves1255217:14320
    5FC Naples1454519:18119
    6Texoma1454519:24-519
    7One Knoxville1044213:9416
    8Richmond Kickers1444624:24016
    9Greenville1444617:17016
    10Portland Hearts of Pine1227313:14-113
    11Tormenta1333717:25-812
    12Union Omaha1232714:21-711
    13Westchester SC1225519:27-811
    14Forward Madison121659:15-69

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of AV Alta - Naples?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
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    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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