AV Alta vs Charlotte Independence: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL League One AV Alta - Charlotte Independence
Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL League One
AV Alta - Charlotte Independence - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.801.31
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
84% (392/465)76% (259/340)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.801.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.451.40
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
2430
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
813
Passes
84% (392/465)76% (259/340)
Long passes
48% (25/52)44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
74% (89/121)65% (90/138)
Crosses
25% (3/12)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.451.74
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
138
Tackles
75% (9/12)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3248
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.401.45
Goals prevented
0.40-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Alassane M. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Marou S. , Jauregui R. (A),
  • 31', Jauregui R. 🟨,
  • 33', Chaney C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Cerritos A. , Mariona J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Alassane M. , Lay O. ,
  • 63', Mariona J. , Aoumaich A. ,
  • 68', Jauregui R. , Ngah F. ,
  • 73', Ndiaye B. , Bakero J. ,
  • 75', Cerritos A. , Robledo H. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Blancas E. , Cruz S. (A),
  • 86', Villalobos J. , Mastrantonio L. ,
  • 87', Sorenson A. , Jaime C. ,
  • 90', Blancas E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lay O. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


AV Alta
40.2%
Draw
26.6%
Charlotte Independence
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 25.1% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 24.5% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • AV Alta - Charlotte Independence Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.06)
    3.46
    (3.65)
    2.77
    (2.99)
    8.7%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for AV Alta - Charlotte Independence?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Charlotte Ind is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Alta has had a series of away games.
    • Alta could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
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    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity1485122:91329
    2Charlotte Independ1373322:16624
    3AV Alta1364323:16722
    4FC Naples1454519:18119
    5Chattanooga Red Wolves1145216:14217
    6One Knoxville944113:8516
    7Richmond Kickers1444624:24016
    8Greenville1444617:17016
    9Texoma1344517:24-716
    10Portland Hearts of Pine1126312:13-112
    11Union Omaha1132613:19-611
    12Tormenta1232716:24-811
    13Westchester SC1225519:27-811
    14Forward Madison111649:13-49

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