Nice vs Auxerre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Nice - Auxerre
Result
3:1
23/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
Nice - Auxerre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.40
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
88% (415/471)79% (307/387)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.442.25
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
88% (415/471)79% (307/387)
Long passes
55% (17/31)30% (16/54)
Passes in final third
75% (83/110)62% (58/94)
Crosses
26% (5/19)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.82
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1015
Tackles
45% (5/11)33% (6/18)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
2.252.44
Goals prevented
1.250.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Boga J. , Louchet T. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Sinayoko L. , Osman I. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 1, Akpa C. (Own goal),
  • 34', Jansson I. 🟨,
  • 41', Sierralta F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Leon D. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Osho G. , De Percin T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Senaya M. 🟨,
  • 60', Peprah K. 🟨,
  • 62', Osman I. , Danny Namaso ,
  • 63', Abdul Samed S. , Rosario P. ,
  • 63', Jansson I. , Diop S. ,
  • 73', Kevin , Moffi T. ,
  • 73', Boga J. , Bouanani B. ,
  • 73', Mensah G. , Oppegard F. ,
  • 73', Sinayoko L. , Coulibaly L. ,
  • 73', Senaya M. , Sy L. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Moffi T. , Louchet T. (A),
  • 90+1', Louchet T. , Koutoune H. ,

Chances of winning


Nice
55.9%
Draw
24.3%
Auxerre
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 23.4% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 24.3% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Nice - Auxerre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.64)
    4.06
    (4)
    5.07
    (4.85)
    2.3%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nice - Auxerre?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 40.8%77.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5, 1st Half - Nice (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
    • Recent form of Nice has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Auxerre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Nice is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Abdi A. (Hernia) Bombito M. (Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Siwe T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Casimir J. (Inactive) Osho G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Auxerre were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Nice - Auxerre 1:1
    18.08.2024 Auxerre - Nice 2:1
    06.01.2024 Nice - Auxerre 1:0
    03.03.2023 Nice - Auxerre 1:1
    16.10.2022 Auxerre - Nice 1:1
    Latest results of Nice
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    Latest results of Auxerre
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0
    09.08.2025 Auxerre - Levante 0:2
    02.08.2025 Auxerre - Ipswich Town 0:3
    30.07.2025 Grenoble - Auxerre 0:0
    26.07.2025 Clermont - Auxerre 2:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG33008:359
    2Lyon33005:059
    3Lille321011:477
    4Monaco32016:426
    5Lens32015:326
    6Strasbourg32014:316
    7Toulouse32016:606
    8Angers31112:204
    9Rennes31112:5-34
    10Marseille31025:413
    11Le Havre31025:6-13
    12Nice31024:5-13
    13Nantes31021:2-13
    14Auxerre31022:4-23
    15Lorient31025:8-33
    16Paris FC31025:8-33
    17Brest30124:8-41
    18Metz30032:7-50

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          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nice - Auxerre?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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