Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien, Austrian Bundesliga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Sturm Graz - Austria Wien
Result
0:1
27/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 28
  • Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
Sturm Graz - Austria Wien - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.75
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
61% (150/245)77% (298/389)
Yellow Cards
64
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.55
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2031
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
218
Passes
61% (150/245)77% (298/389)
Long passes
26% (14/54)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
45% (44/97)73% (108/147)
Crosses
35% (8/23)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.71
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
821
Tackles
69% (11/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
6546
Clearances
3536
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.550.73
Goals prevented
0.470.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Grgic L. 🟨,
  • 28', Boving W. 🟥,
  • 29', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
  • 29', Wuthrich G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Wiesinger P. 🟨,
  • 62', Guenouche H. , Perez Vinlof M. ,
  • 68', Grgic L. 🟨,
  • 68', Kiteishvili O. 🟨,
  • 72', Horvat T. , Malic A. ,
  • 74', Ranftl R. 🟨,
  • 75', Plavotic T. , Handl J. ,
  • 75', Fischer M. , Gruber A. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Prelec N. ,
  • 84', Lavalee D. 🟨,
  • 87', Chukwuani T. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 87', Johnston M. , Hodl J. ,
  • 90', Perez Vinlof M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Prelec N. , Aleksa K. ,
  • 90+2', Barry A. , Potzmann M. ,
  • 90+9', Malone M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
41.3%
Draw
29.5%
Austria Wien
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 26% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.5% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.
  • Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Sturm Graz - Austria Wien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2)
    3.21
    (3.61)
    3.26
    (3.49)
    5.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Austria Wien?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sturm won 1.
    • Sturm is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Austria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Austria have a series of home games.
    • Sturm will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Jatta S. (Injury) Karic E. (Muscle Injury) Mayulu F. (Injury) Yalcouye M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z. (Knee Injury) Wustinger F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Geyrhofer N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Austria: Handl J. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sturm won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 35:27 (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Austria Wien were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Austria Wien - Sturm Graz 2:1
    07.02.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 2:2
    01.02.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:2
    25.09.2024 Austria Wien - Sturm Graz 2:2
    02.02.2024 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 2:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Latest results of Austria Wien
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sturm Graz29185660:332736
    2Austria Vienna29175742:271533
    3Wolfsberger AC29156856:352133
    4Salzburg29149645:291632
    5SK Rapid291081136:36021
    6BW Linz291141434:39-520

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - Austria Wien?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria 1
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany
    russiaRussiaTV Start Triumph
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7, SportKlub 8
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
    ukraineUkraineSport 2
    worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 2 Baltic
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