Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien, Austrian Bundesliga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Sturm Graz - Austria Wien
Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Hameter M. (Aut)
Sturm Graz - Austria Wien - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.66
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
78% (416/535)60% (151/253)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.82
Total shots
118
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
78% (416/535)60% (151/253)
Long passes
46% (26/56)25% (16/65)
Passes in final third
62% (103/165)51% (43/85)
Crosses
19% (5/27)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.79
Throw-ins
3023
Fouls
2016
Tackles
63% (10/16)62% (21/34)
Duels won
6376
Clearances
1244
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.820.20
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Eggestein J. , Sarkaria M. (A),
  • 45', Barry A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
  • 60', Jatta S. , Grgic L. ,
  • 61', Hierlander S. , Rozga F. ,
  • 61', Oermann T. , Bendra K. ,
  • 64', Eggestein J. , Botic N. ,
  • 69', Saljic S. 🟨,
  • 73', Saljic S. , Aleksa K. ,
  • 76', Malone M. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 79', Grgic L. 🟨,
  • 81', Fischer M. 🟨,
  • 84', Hodl J. , Beck J. ,
  • 88', Sarkaria M. , Maybach P. ,
  • 88', Ranftl R. , Pazourek L. ,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
45.3%
Draw
27.5%
Austria Wien
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 25.6% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 25% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Sturm Graz - Austria Wien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.97)
    3.5
    (3.63)
    3.55
    (3.45)
    4.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Austria Wien?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Austria will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 0.
    • Sturm has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austria has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Austria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Austria has had a series of home games.
    • Sturm could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury)
    • There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z. (Knee Injury) Lee Kang-Hee (Knee Injury) Vucic R. (Knee Injury) Wustinger F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Gorenc Stankovic J. (Injury) Kiteishvili O. (Injury) Malic A. (Injury) Mitchell J. (Muscle Injury) Rozga F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Austria: Plavotic T. (Injury) Saljic S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Austria Wien were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:1
    23.04.2025 Austria Wien - Sturm Graz 2:1
    07.02.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 2:2
    01.02.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:2
    25.09.2024 Austria Wien - Sturm Graz 2:2
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    30.08.2025 Grazer AK - Sturm Graz 0:3
    26.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt 2:1
    23.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol Postponed
    20.08.2025 Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz 5:0
    16.08.2025 Ried - Sturm Graz 1:3
    Latest results of Austria Wien
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SK Rapid651010:3716
    2Sturm Graz640211:4712
    3Altach73316:3312
    4Wolfsberger AC732212:8411
    5Salzburg732215:10511
    6Hartberg731311:10110
    7Austria Vienna73139:11-210
    8Tirol623111:1019
    9Ried721410:12-27
    10LASK72056:13-76
    11BW Linz71155:11-64
    12Grazer AK60334:15-113

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - Austria Wien?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany
    russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    worldWorldOnefootball
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