Austria Wien vs Ried, Austrian Bundesliga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Austria Wien - Ried
Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Harkam A. (Aut)
Austria Wien - Ried - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.420.89
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
115
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
70% (220/315)67% (144/215)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.420.89
xG on target (xGOT)
2.341.69
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
148
Passes
70% (220/315)67% (144/215)
Long passes
44% (27/62)38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
57% (63/110)42% (30/72)
Crosses
10% (2/21)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.17
Throw-ins
3420
Fouls
814
Tackles
71% (10/14)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5653
Clearances
2461
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.692.34
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Mutandwa K. ,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Mutandwa K. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Dragovic A. , Pazourek L. ,
  • 49', 1 - 2, Barry A. ,
  • 55', Mayer J. 🟨,
  • 55', van Wyk A. , Sane S. ,
  • 57', Havenaar N. 🟨,
  • 59', Mayer J. , Rasner M. ,
  • 62', Grosse M. 🟨,
  • 65', Barry A. 🟨,
  • 66', Sarkaria M. , Botic N. ,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Eggestein J. (Pen),
  • 78', Mutandwa K. 🟨,
  • 79', Sollbauer M. , Kirnbauer D. ,
  • 79', Bajic A. , Rossdorfer F. ,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Fischer M. ,
  • 87', Fischer M. , Maybach P. ,
  • 87', Eggestein J. , Boateng K. ,
  • 90+2', Saljic S. , Raguz M. ,
  • 90+4', Raguz M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Austria Wien
44.2%
Draw
28.3%
Ried
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 23.8% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 24.1% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austria Wien's form might have worsened.
  • Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ried's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austria Wien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ried, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Austria Wien - Ried Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.7)
    3.35
    (3.85)
    3.51
    (4.08)
    5.2%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Austria Wien - Ried?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ried will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austria (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Austria is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z. (Knee Injury) Handl J. (Illness) Lee Kang-Hee (Knee Injury) Vucic R. (Knee Injury) Wustinger F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ried: Mesic N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Austria: Plavotic T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Austria won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:22. (average 2.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austria won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Wien - Ried were as follows:
    04.03.2023 Ried - Austria Wien 1:3
    18.09.2022 Austria Wien - Ried 3:0
    Latest results of Austria Wien
    Latest results of Ried
    14.09.2025 Ried - Hartberg 0:2
    30.08.2025 LASK Linz - Ried 1:3
    26.08.2025 Union Gurten - Ried 0:1
    23.08.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz - Ried 0:2
    16.08.2025 Ried - Sturm Graz 1:3
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SK Rapid752011:4717
    2Sturm Graz640211:4712
    3Altach73316:3312
    4Wolfsberger AC732212:8411
    5Salzburg732215:10511
    6Hartberg731311:10110
    7Austria Vienna73139:11-210
    8Tirol623111:1019
    9Ried721410:12-27
    10LASK72056:13-76
    11BW Linz71155:11-64
    12Grazer AK70435:16-114

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Austria Wien - Ried?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany
    worldWorldOnefootball
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