Australia vs New Zealand, Rugby Championship: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Rugby Championship Australia - New Zealand
04/10/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Australia - New Zealand - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Australia
33.1%
Draw
3.2%
New Zealand
63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 3.4% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Australia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for New Zealand have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Australia - New Zealand Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.81)
    29
    (29)
    1.46
    (1.46)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 3 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New Zealand could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Australia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 355:650. (average 17.8:32.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Australia - New Zealand were as follows:
    27.09.2025 New Zealand - Australia 33:24
    28.09.2024 New Zealand - Australia 33:13
    21.09.2024 Australia - New Zealand 28:31
    04.08.2023 New Zealand - Australia 23:20
    29.07.2023 Australia - New Zealand 7:38
    Latest results of Australia
    27.09.2025 New Zealand - Australia 33:24
    13.09.2025 Australia - Argentina 26:28
    06.09.2025 Australia - Argentina 28:24
    23.08.2025 South Africa - Australia 30:22
    16.08.2025 South Africa - Australia 22:38
    Latest results of New Zealand
    27.09.2025 New Zealand - Australia 33:24
    13.09.2025 New Zealand - South Africa 10:43
    06.09.2025 New Zealand - South Africa 24:17
    23.08.2025 Argentina - New Zealand 29:23
    16.08.2025 Argentina - New Zealand 24:41
    Rugby Championship Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1South Africa5302179:12415
    2New Zealand5302131:13714
    3Australia5203138:13711
    4Argentina5203135:1859

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