Ventura County vs Austin II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Ventura County - Austin II
Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Ventura County - Austin II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.64
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (413/473)84% (331/394)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.301.72
Total shots
147
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (413/473)84% (331/394)
Long passes
57% (27/47)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
78% (110/141)64% (51/80)
Crosses
25% (5/20)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.54
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1012
Tackles
89% (8/9)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3929
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.720.30
Goals prevented
0.720.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Danciutiu V. , De Anda A. ,
  • 58', De Anda A. 🟨,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Farkarlun B. , Bonachera R. (A),
  • 71', Vanney D. , Muller L. ,
  • 71', El-Jindaoui N. , Sullivan N. ,
  • 71', Farkarlun B. , Abarca D. ,
  • 73', Gonzalez A. , Badawiya M. ,
  • 84', Musto T. , Arnold G. ,
  • 85', Torres E. , Avila C. ,
  • 86', Ciesla D. 🟨,
  • 86', Kocevski J. 🟨,
  • 88', Abarca D. 🟨,
  • 90', Kocevski J. , Saribekyan L. ,
  • 90+4', Van Rijn N. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Farrar C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ventura County
44.9%
Draw
25.3%
Austin II
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 26.6% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.8% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austin II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ventura County - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.89)
    3.64
    (3.48)
    3.08
    (3.79)
    8.7%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Ventura County have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austin II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ventura County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ventura County has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ventura County is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Austin II were as follows:
    26.04.2024 Austin II - Ventura County 2:3
    Latest results of Ventura County
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Carolina Core14324519:1917
    6Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2North Texas16721628:3126
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    5Austin FC II14433413:1521
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Carolina Core14324519:1917
    12Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    13Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    7Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    8Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    9Town FC13522428:1821
    10Austin FC II14433413:1521
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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