Ventura County vs Austin II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Ventura County - Austin II
Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Ventura County - Austin II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.64
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (413/473)84% (331/394)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.301.72
Total shots
147
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (413/473)84% (331/394)
Long passes
57% (27/47)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
78% (110/141)64% (51/80)
Crosses
25% (5/20)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.54
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1012
Tackles
89% (8/9)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3929
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.720.30
Goals prevented
0.720.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Danciutiu V. , De Anda A. ,
  • 58', De Anda A. 🟨,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Farkarlun B. , Bonachera R. (A),
  • 71', Vanney D. , Muller L. ,
  • 71', El-Jindaoui N. , Sullivan N. ,
  • 71', Farkarlun B. , Abarca D. ,
  • 73', Gonzalez A. , Badawiya M. ,
  • 84', Musto T. , Arnold G. ,
  • 85', Torres E. , Avila C. ,
  • 86', Ciesla D. 🟨,
  • 86', Kocevski J. 🟨,
  • 88', Abarca D. 🟨,
  • 90', Kocevski J. , Saribekyan L. ,
  • 90+4', Van Rijn N. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Farrar C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ventura County
44.9%
Draw
25.3%
Austin II
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 26.6% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.8% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austin II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ventura County - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.89)
    3.64
    (3.48)
    3.08
    (3.79)
    8.7%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Ventura County have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austin II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ventura County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ventura County has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ventura County is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Austin II were as follows:
    26.04.2024 Austin II - Ventura County 2:3
    Latest results of Ventura County
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II19623833:3925
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chattanooga19833530:2933
    4Huntsville17832435:1932
    5Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    6New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9New York City II19623833:3925
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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