North Texas vs Austin II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro North Texas - Austin II
Result
1:2
14/06/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
North Texas - Austin II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.102.55
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
77% (251/324)78% (273/348)
Yellow Cards
65
Expected Goals (xG)
1.102.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.003.86
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1520
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1424
Passes
77% (251/324)78% (273/348)
Long passes
46% (25/54)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
62% (37/60)70% (62/88)
Crosses
23% (3/13)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.65
Throw-ins
149
Fouls
2414
Tackles
50% (4/8)94% (15/16)
Duels won
2857
Clearances
1115
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
3.861.00
Goals prevented
1.860.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Farrar C. 🟨,
  • 23', Cisset M. 🟨,
  • 31', Charles I. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 35', Scott T. 🟨,
  • 43', Djakaria B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sangare F. ↓, Urzua A. ↑,
  • 46', Orejarena L. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
  • 63', Abarca D. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
  • 67', Sarver S. 🟨,
  • 67', Harms J. 🟨,
  • 71', 0 - 2, Burton M. ⚽, Djakaria B. (A),
  • 76', Scott T. ↓, Baran D. ↑,
  • 76', Fodrey C. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Urzua A. ⚽, Baran D. (A),
  • 79', Torres E. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
  • 79', Hickam L. ↓, Cortellessa M. ↑,
  • 81', Cortellessa M. 🟨,
  • 84', Swann C. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
  • 90+3', Gonzalez A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


North Texas
37.8%		Draw
23.8%		Austin II
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 21.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 20.1% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Texas's form might have worsened.
  • Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austin II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    North Texas - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.42 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.84 ↓
    (4.29)    		 2.38 ↓
    (2.83)    		 9.3%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
    • North Texas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Austin II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Austin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Austin II were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2
    22.09.2024 North Texas - Austin II 2:1
    02.08.2024 Austin II - North Texas 2:1
    22.06.2024 North Texas - Austin II 4:3
    24.09.2023 North Texas - Austin II 3:1
    Latest results of North Texas
    04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0 ✺
    25.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 2:3
    18.05.2025 North Texas - Houston Dynamo 2 2:1
    02.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:1
    23.04.2025 North Texas - The Town 2:0
    Latest results of Austin II
    08.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Austin II 1:0
    30.05.2025 Austin II - Houston Dynamo 2 1:2
    23.05.2025 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 2:1
    13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1
    02.05.2025 Austin II - Sporting Kansas City II 1:0
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    6New York City II15522628:3121
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2North Texas16721628:3126
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga16822424:2130
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    6Huntsville13532327:1623
    7Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    8Orlando City B15611721:2721
    9New York City II15522628:3121
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    12Carolina Core15324620:2117
    13Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    9Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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