Independiente Petroleros vs Aurora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre).

: Division Profesional - Round 9

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.91
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
18	17
Shots on target
4	7
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
81% (354/435)	68% (169/248)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	2.45
Total shots
18	17
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
11	7
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
9	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
17	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
20	11
Passes
81% (354/435)	68% (169/248)
Long passes
53% (30/57)	43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)	64% (63/99)
Crosses
17% (7/42)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	0.62
Throw-ins
27	20
Fouls
11	20
Tackles
67% (12/18)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
53	43
Clearances
11	36
Interceptions
5	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
2.45	0.66
Goals prevented
-1.55	-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Rivera A. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Ballivian R. ⚽, Torrico J. (A),
33', Rivera E. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Robles D. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sejas C. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
46', Perea M. ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
46', Rivera A. ↓, Castellon D. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Ubah B. ⚽, Thomaz (A),
52', 1 - 3, Escobar R. ⚽, Torrico J. (A),
55', 1 - 4, Escobar R. ⚽,
64', Torrico J. 🟨,
67', Escobar R. 🟨,
71', Cardozo R. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
75', Escobar R. ↓, Mendoza M. ↑,
78', Cristaldo G. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
78', Villalba D. ↓, Chajtur M. ↑,
79', Vaca O. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
85', Sanchez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Ubah B. ⚽, Aguilera D. (A),

Chances of winning

Independiente Petroleros
42.2%

Draw
26.4%

Aurora
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Independiente Petroleros - Aurora Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	2.89 ↓ (3.15)	8.3% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Aurora?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
Recent form of Ind Petroleros has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aurora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Aurora?

Independiente Petroleros has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Independiente Petroleros?

Aurora has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Aurora were as follows:

31.10.2024 Aurora - Independiente Petroleros 2:0

21.07.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 2:1

18.04.2024 Aurora - Independiente Petroleros 2:4

15.04.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 0:1

05.08.2023 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 1:1

Latest results of Independiente Petroleros

20.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá 0:1 ✺

16.05.2025 Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros 3:3 ✺

10.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero 5:2 ✺

02.05.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros 4:2 ✺

29.04.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Aurora

16.05.2025 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 3:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Aurora - Bolívar 0:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Real Tomayapo - Aurora 0:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Aurora - ABB 2:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Aurora - Real Oruro 2:2 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	12	8	4	0	37:13	24	28
2	The Strongest	12	9	1	2	34:19	15	28
3	Blooming	12	6	4	2	25:18	7	22
4	Bolivar	12	6	3	3	29:16	13	21
5	GV San Jose	12	5	2	5	16:20	-4	17
6	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
7	SA Bulo Bulo	12	3	5	4	20:24	-4	14
8	Tomayapo	12	2	7	3	14:16	-2	13
9	Universitario de Vinto	11	3	4	4	14:19	-5	13
10	Academia del Balompie	11	3	4	4	10:16	-6	13
11	Guabira	12	3	3	6	19:29	-10	12
12	Real Oruro	12	2	5	5	15:18	-3	11
13	Independiente	11	2	5	4	17:21	-4	11
14	Nacional Potosi	10	2	4	4	11:11	0	10
15	Wilstermann	12	1	2	9	8:28	-20	5
16	Aurora	12	4	4	4	23:21	2	-17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Petroleros - Aurora?

It is being streamed on channel


Bolivia	Futbol Canal