St. Pauli vs Augsburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Augsburg
Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 3
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
St. Pauli - Augsburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.66
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
80% (437/545)80% (335/418)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.301.17
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
3221
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
80% (437/545)80% (335/418)
Long passes
31% (18/59)34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
65% (112/173)56% (49/87)
Crosses
35% (6/17)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.221.19
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1012
Tackles
50% (11/22)88% (14/16)
Duels won
5655
Clearances
2739
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.172.30
Goals prevented
0.170.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Rieder F. , Massengo H. (A),
  • 36', Pyrka A. 🟨,
  • 40', Rexhbecaj E. 🟨,
  • 45', Hountondji A. (Pen),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Hountondji A. ,
  • 45+5', Jakic K. , Fellhauer R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hountondji A. , Kaars M. ,
  • 46', Pyrka A. , Saliakas M. ,
  • 63', Saad E. 🟨,
  • 67', Matsima C. 🟨,
  • 69', Wolf M. , Tietz P. ,
  • 69', Saad E. , Claude-Maurice A. ,
  • 75', Dzwigala A. , Ritzka L. ,
  • 76', Fellhauer R. 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Sinani D. ,
  • 84', Massengo H. , Dardari A. ,
  • 84', Rieder F. , Gharbi I. ,
  • 88', Pereira Lage M. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 90+2', Sinani D. , Metcalfe C. ,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
43.7%
Draw
28.4%
Augsburg
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.3% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.6% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • St. Pauli - Augsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.16)
    3.34
    (3.5)
    3.43
    (3.38)
    4.8%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Augsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Augsburg will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 31%73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • St. Pauli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Augsburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • St. Pauli could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Bauer M. (Injury) Claude-Maurice A. (Ankle Injury) Essende S. (Red Card) Giannoulis D. (Thigh Injury) Komur M. (Toe Injury) Schlotterbeck K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Ceesay A. (Foot Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Fellhauer R. (Concussion) Kade A. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Augsburg were as follows:
    01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1
    15.09.2024 Augsburg - St. Pauli 3:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Latest results of Augsburg
    03.09.2025 Augsburg - Greuther Fürth 1:2
    30.08.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3
    17.08.2025 Hallescher - Augsburg 0:2
    09.08.2025 Augsburg - Sunderland 0:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Stuttgart64028:6212
    5Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    6FC Koln631211:9210
    7Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    8Freiburg62229:908
    9Hamburger SV62226:8-28
    10St. Pauli62138:9-17
    11Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    12Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    13Union Berlin62138:13-57
    14Augsburg620411:13-26
    15Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    16Mainz61145:10-54
    17B. Monchengladbach60335:12-73
    18Heidenheim61054:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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