Freiburg vs Augsburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Freiburg - Augsburg
Result
1:3
23/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Freiburg - Augsburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.01
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (376/459)73% (216/295)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.872.86
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
82% (376/459)73% (216/295)
Long passes
48% (29/60)34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
67% (83/124)63% (60/95)
Crosses
21% (4/19)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.67
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
1418
Tackles
57% (8/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
6444
Clearances
3149
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.861.87
Goals prevented
-0.140.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Giannoulis D. ,
  • 37', Dinkci E. 🟨,
  • 40', Gunter C. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Matsima C. , Komur M. (A),
  • 45+2', 0 - 3, Wolf M. ,
  • 45+6', Ginter M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Matsima C. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Grifo V. (Pen),
  • 60', Dinkci E. , Irie C. ,
  • 60', Giannoulis D. , Tietz P. ,
  • 61', Komur M. 🟨,
  • 68', Tietz P. 🟨,
  • 70', Suzuki Y. , Rohl M. ,
  • 70', Saad E. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 81', Manzambi J. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 81', Gunter C. , Makengo J. ,
  • 86', Wolf M. 🟨,
  • 86', Wolf M. , Zesiger C. ,
  • 87', Fellhauer R. , Maier A. ,
  • 90+5', Rexhbecaj E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Irie C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
48.8%
Draw
27.2%
Augsburg
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 25.4% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Freiburg - Augsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.8)
    3.51
    (3.78)
    3.97
    (4.5)
    4.5%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Augsburg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.83%96.13%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3.
    • Augsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Matanovic I. (Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Leg Injury) Treu P. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Bauer M. (Injury) Claude-Maurice A. (Ankle Injury) Essende S. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Augsburg were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0
    19.10.2024 Freiburg - Augsburg 3:1
    25.02.2024 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:1
    01.10.2023 Freiburg - Augsburg 2:0
    28.01.2023 Freiburg - Augsburg 3:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    09.08.2025 Freiburg - Osasuna 2:2
    11.07.2025 Freiburg - Sandhausen 2:1
    Latest results of Augsburg
    17.08.2025 Hallescher - Augsburg 0:2
    09.08.2025 Augsburg - Sunderland 0:1
    08.08.2025 Augsburg - Pisa 2:2
    01.08.2025 Augsburg - Crystal Palace 1:3
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich11006:063
    2Eintracht Frankfurt11004:133
    3Wolfsburg11003:123
    4Augsburg11003:123
    5Union Berlin11002:113
    6Hoffenheim11002:113
    7Dortmund10103:301
    8St. Pauli10103:301
    9Hamburger SV00000:000
    10B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Bayer Leverkusen10011:2-10
    14Stuttgart10011:2-10
    15Freiburg10011:3-20
    16Heidenheim10011:3-20
    17Werder Bremen10011:4-30
    18RB Leipzig10010:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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