Augsburg vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

WWK Arena (Augsburg).

: Bundesliga - Round 28
Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.33	2.38
Ball Possession
30%	70%
Total shots
6	19
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
76% (218/285)	89% (611/684)
Yellow Cards
4	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.33	2.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	1.80
Total shots
6	19
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
2	8
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
0	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
13	49
Through passes
50% (1/2)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
8	8
Passes
76% (218/285)	89% (611/684)
Long passes
50% (25/50)	58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
60% (43/72)	84% (198/235)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	2.18
Fouls
8	8
Tackles
38% (5/13)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
38	37
Clearances Total
24	12
Interceptions
15	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.80	0.48
Goals prevented
-0.20	-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Giannoulis D. ⚽, Gouweleeuw J. (A),
32', Zesiger C. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Musiala J. ⚽, Sane L. (A),
45+1', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Musiala J. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
59', Zesiger C. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
61', Jensen F. ↓, Schlotterbeck K. ↑,
61', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
67', Olise M. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
74', Essende S. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
81', Onyeka F. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
81', Wolf M. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
84', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Matsima C. (Own goal),
90+4', Kane H. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
90+4', Sane L. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Augsburg
12.4%

Draw
19.6%

Bayern Munich
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

19.6%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

20.3%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Augsburg - Bayern Munich Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.74 ↓ (8.15)	4.88 ↓ (4.94)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	4.3% (3.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Augsburg - Bayern Munich?

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 14.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 51 - 79.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 69.8% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 - Bayern (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Augsburg will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Augsburg won 0.
Now both teams are in good shape.
In this match Bayern is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Coman K. (Thigh Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Pavlovic A. (Illness) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Augsburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 22:57 (average 1.1:2.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Augsburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:25 (average 1.4:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Bayern Munich?

Augsburg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Augsburg?

Bayern Munich has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:

22.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 3:0

27.01.2024 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3

27.08.2023 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 3:1

11.03.2023 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 5:3

19.10.2022 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:5

Latest results of Augsburg

29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg 0:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Bayern Munich

29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bochum 2:3 ✺

05.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Augsburg - Bayern Munich?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia