Augsburg vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Augsburg - Bayern Munich
Result
2:3
30/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 2
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
Augsburg - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.503.81
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
310
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
79% (294/372)85% (434/513)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.503.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.354.52
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
716
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2238
Accurate through passes
06
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
79% (294/372)85% (434/513)
Long passes
37% (19/51)53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
59% (44/74)74% (133/180)
Crosses
28% (5/18)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.892.62
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1411
Tackles
70% (16/23)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5446
Clearances
3122
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
4.521.35
Goals prevented
1.52-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Gnabry S. , Kane H. (A),
  • 31', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
  • 39', Wolf M. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Diaz L. , Laimer K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 3, Olise M. , Kane H. (A),
  • 53', 1 - 3, Jakic K. , Fellhauer R. (A),
  • 60', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 60', Olise M. 🟨,
  • 64', Saad E. , Tietz P. ,
  • 64', Giannoulis D. , Kade A. ,
  • 70', Goretzka L. , Pavlovic A. ,
  • 71', Laimer K. , Boey S. ,
  • 76', 2 - 3, Komur M. , Jakic K. (A),
  • 86', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
  • 86', Gnabry S. , Guerreiro R. ,
  • 90', Massengo H. , Banks N. ,
  • 90+6', Diaz L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Boey S. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Zesiger C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Augsburg
10.4%
Draw
15.9%
Bayern Munich
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 17.2% 70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 16.4% 73.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Augsburg - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.26
    (7.77)
    6
    (5.52)
    1.3
    (1.35)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Augsburg - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 64.9%92.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 20%). Bayern (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 0.
    • In recent matches, Augsburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Claude-Maurice A. (Ankle Injury) Essende S. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Bischof T. (Surgery) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Bauer M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 22:57. (average 1.1:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.4:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3
    22.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 3:0
    27.01.2024 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3
    27.08.2023 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 3:1
    11.03.2023 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 5:3
    Latest results of Augsburg
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3
    17.08.2025 Hallescher - Augsburg 0:2
    09.08.2025 Augsburg - Sunderland 0:1
    08.08.2025 Augsburg - Pisa 2:2
    01.08.2025 Augsburg - Crystal Palace 1:3
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich330014:2129
    2Dortmund32108:357
    3FC Koln32108:447
    4St. Pauli32107:437
    5Eintracht Frankfurt32018:536
    6Hoffenheim32017:616
    7RB Leipzig32013:6-36
    8Wolfsburg31207:525
    9Werder Bremen31118:714
    10Bayer Leverkusen31117:614
    11Augsburg31026:603
    12Stuttgart31023:5-23
    13Freiburg31025:8-33
    14Union Berlin31024:8-43
    15Mainz30121:3-21
    16B. Monchengladbach30120:5-51
    17Hamburger SV30120:7-71
    18Heidenheim30031:7-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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