Result
4:3
26/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga de Primera - Round 12
- Referee: Lara J. (Chi)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 3.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (227/294) | 77% (259/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 3.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 3.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (227/294) | 77% (259/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (67/101) | 62% (65/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.15 | 2.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', Collao M. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Gazzolo B. ⚽,
- 11', Garrido B. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Guiffrey G. ⚽, Valencia Rossel L. (A),
- 32', Fuentes M. 🟨,
- 36', Valencia Rossel L. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 2, Altamirano L. ⚽, Martinez C. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 3, Martinez C. (Pen),
- 61', Palacios L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 61', Gil Romero G. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
- 61', Rojas Munoz O. J. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 3, Matus E. ⚽,
- 68', Odriozola R. 🟨,
- 69', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 73', Villanueva C. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
- 80', Figueroa J. ↓, Leon Munoz M. A. ↑,
- 80', Martinez C. ↓, Conelli V. ↑,
- 81', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 83', Silva S. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 3, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
- 90+1', Altamirano L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 90+1', Fuentes M. ↓, Aedo N. ↑,
- 90+1', Sepulveda C. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 3, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
- 90+6', Collao M. ↓, Pina D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Audax Italiano
44.5% | Draw
28.5% | Huachipato
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Audax Italiano - Huachipato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.97) |
3.32 ↓
(3.39) |
3.49 ↓
(3.83) |
6.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Huachipato?
Users Predictions:
Audax Italiano will win
(29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Audax Italiano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 2.
- Audax Italiano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Huachipato is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Audax Italiano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Huachipato?
Audax Italiano has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huachipato won against Audax Italiano?
Huachipato has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Huachipato were as follows:
20.10.2024
Audax Italiano
-
Huachipato
0:2
20.05.2024
Huachipato
-
Audax Italiano
0:1
08.12.2023
Huachipato
-
Audax Italiano
2:0
19.05.2023
Audax Italiano
-
Huachipato
1:0
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Latest results of Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19:7 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 26 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 6 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 22 |
| 8 | Union La Calera | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15:11 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colo Colo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | La Serena | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | Nublense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 | Limache | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
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