Audax Italiano vs Deportes La Serena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
12/06/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 15
Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.881.09
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
45
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
83
Passes
75% (292/389)74% (291/393)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.881.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.55
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
511
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
510
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
611
Passes
75% (292/389)74% (291/393)
Long passes
58% (50/86)41% (28/69)
Passes in final third
60% (70/116)58% (70/120)
Crosses
30% (6/20)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.88
Throw ins
3424
Fouls
116
Tackles
71% (15/21)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
1813
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
0.550.50
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Chamorro F. 🟨,
  • 44', Zanini A. , Gutierrez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Soto B. , Fuenzalida I. ,
  • 53', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
  • 55', Collao M. , Zenteno V. ,
  • 62', Matus E. , Guajardo P. ,
  • 62', Troyansky F. , Coelho D. ,
  • 66', Chamorro F. , Henriquez A. ,
  • 66', Pinto M. , Diaz S. ,
  • 74', 0 - 1, Escalante G. , Vargas J. (A),
  • 79', Fuentes M. , Loyola F. ,
  • 79', Mateos F. , Sandoval M. ,
  • 80', Ferrario E. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Coelho D. , Chiaverano G. (A),
  • 87', Marin M. , Diaz F. ,
  • 89', Coelho D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Vargas J. , Velasquez M. ,

Chances of winning


Audax Italiano
48.9%
Draw
26.3%
Deportes La Serena
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 25.9% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 25.3% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.95)
    3.53
    (3.56)
    3.72
    (3.48)
    7.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena?
    • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 54%99.8%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 4.
    • Audax Italiano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportes La Serena's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of home games.
    • Audax Italiano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    09.05.2026 Deportes La Serena - Audax Italiano 2:4
    25.03.2026 Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena 3:1
    25.10.2025 Deportes La Serena - Audax Italiano 2:1
    04.05.2025 Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena 2:1
    06.11.2022 Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena 3:0
    Latest results of Audax Italiano
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colo Colo15120329:121736
    2U. Catolica1582535:201526
    3U. De Chile1566317:10724
    4Coquimbo1573522:18424
    5Palestino1573523:21224
    6Huachipato1572623:22123
    7Everton1564519:15422
    8Nublense1557318:19-122
    9Limache1563630:23721
    10O'Higgins1562719:22-320
    11U. De Concepcion1554613:26-1319
    12La Serena1546521:25-418
    13A. Italiano1544718:21-316
    14D. Concepcion1542914:23-914
    15Cobresal15411019:29-1013
    16Union La Calera1533914:28-1412

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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