Audax Italiano vs Deportes La Serena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chilean Primera Division Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 10
  • Referee: Alveal F. (Chi)
Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.970.77
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
77% (238/309)82% (298/363)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.970.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.70
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
138
Passes
77% (238/309)82% (298/363)
Long passes
56% (30/54)29% (14/48)
Passes in final third
63% (62/98)69% (59/85)
Crosses
31% (9/29)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.33
Throw-ins
2026
Fouls
813
Tackles
64% (14/22)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
1533
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.702.47
Goals prevented
0.70-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Vargas J. , Chamorro F. (A),
  • 11', Diaz S. 🟨,
  • 14', Chamorro F. 🟨,
  • 16', Matus E. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Riveros L. , Munoz C. ,
  • 62', Guajardo P. , Palacios L. ,
  • 75', Collao M. , Sandoval Molina M. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', Ovando L. , Gallegos S. ,
  • 81', Sandoval Molina M. , Jimenez M. ,
  • 85', Vargas J. 🟨,
  • 90', Ramirez M. , Pinto M. ,
  • 90', Chamorro F. , Jara Gonzalez G. A. ,
  • 90+1', Ferrario E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Vargas J. , Moreira E. ,
  • 90+5', Henriquez A. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Guiffrey G. , Valencia Rossel L. (A),

Chances of winning


Audax Italiano
52.7%
Draw
26.1%
Deportes La Serena
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 25.6% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 25% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.78)
    3.62
    (3.65)
    4.51
    (4.25)
    6%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Audax Italiano is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    06.11.2022 Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena 3:0
    Latest results of Audax Italiano
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo1595119:71232
    2A. Italiano15102328:181032
    3U. De Chile1491431:131828
    4Palestino1584322:14828
    5O'Higgins1575315:15026
    6U. Catolica1574422:14825
    7Cobresal1565419:18123
    8Union La Calera1564515:11422
    9Colo Colo1463523:15821
    10Huachipato1553720:23-318
    11La Serena1552819:27-817
    12Nublense1537514:22-816
    13Everton1535715:25-1014
    14Limache1534817:23-613
    15U. Espanola15211212:29-177
    16Deportes Iquique15131115:32-176

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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