Audace Cerignola vs Catania: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie C Group C Audace Cerignola - Catania
28/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Audace Cerignola - Catania - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Audace Cerignola
34.8%
Draw
29%
Catania
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.9% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 31.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Audace Cerignola - Catania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.55)
    3.15
    (3.1)
    2.52
    (2.75)
    9.5%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Audace Cerignola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Audace Cerignola - Catania were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Audace Cerignola - Catania 2:0
    25.09.2024 Catania - Audace Cerignola 0:0
    15.03.2024 Catania - Audace Cerignola 2:1
    12.11.2023 Audace Cerignola - Catania 1:0
    Latest results of Audace Cerignola
    Latest results of Catania
    24.09.2025 Trapani - Catania 1:1
    20.09.2025 Catania - Sorrento 0:0
    14.09.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Catania 4:1
    06.09.2025 Catania - Monopoli 4:0
    30.08.2025 Cavese - Catania 0:1
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Salernitana650110:6415
    2Benevento641111:5613
    3Catania632113:5811
    4Crotone632112:6611
    5Casarano632111:10111
    6Monopoli63218:8011
    7Cosenza623112:759
    8Audace Cerignola62318:719
    9Casertana62229:908
    10Potenza622211:1018
    11Latina62135:10-57
    12Picerno61329:11-26
    13Altamura61325:10-56
    14Foggia61323:9-66
    15Giugliano61239:13-45
    16Trapani633012:394
    17Atalanta U2361147:8-14
    18Sorrento60335:8-33
    19Siracusa61054:12-83
    20Cavese60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

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